Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kayseri: Bogdan Seleznev vs Vladimir Osminkin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17afde96beabf6839e2bc6fc6b047bf2ea5a95e13447b0a1bbd81ac74923d6e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bogdan Seleznevof Bogdan Seleznev, Vladimir Osminkin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bogdan Seleznev | 44c | 7,145$3,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,032.95 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vladimir Osminkin | 61c | 2,582$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.54 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vladimir Osminkin | 52c | 2,350$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.02 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Vladimir Osminkin | 59c | 1,011$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Vladimir Osminkin | 52c | 536$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.53 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bogdan Seleznev | 40c | 532.42$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.83 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Vladimir Osminkin | 56c | 412.14$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.94 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bogdan Seleznev | 50c | 350.52$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.77 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Vladimir Osminkin | 50c | 300.85$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.78 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Vladimir Osminkin | 43c | 192.53$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Bogdan Seleznev | 77c | 177.03$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Vladimir Osminkin | 48c | 152$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.48 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Bogdan Seleznev | 77c | 144.1$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Bogdan Seleznev | 48c | 142.76$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.93 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Vladimir Osminkin | 54c | 140.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Bogdan Seleznev | 73c | 115.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Bogdan Seleznev | 77c | 112.3$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Vladimir Osminkin | 30c | 109.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Vladimir Osminkin | 31c | 109.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Vladimir Osminkin | 54c | 109$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Vladimir Osminkin | 51c | 100.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 282 | 37.9%107 W · 175 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Bogdan Seleznev | 64c | 99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Vladimir Osminkin | 57c | 98.03$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 215 | 54%116 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Vladimir Osminkin | 54c | 93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Vladimir Osminkin | 56c | 89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Vladimir Osminkin | 35c | 83.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Vladimir Osminkin | 53c | 73.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Bogdan Seleznev | 53c | 67.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…87f4backed Vladimir Osminkin | 36c | 63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Vladimir Osminkin | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…d585backed Bogdan Seleznev | 71c | 56.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Vladimir Osminkin | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Vladimir Osminkin | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…1ed2backed Vladimir Osminkin | 36c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Vladimir Osminkin | 53c | 35.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Vladimir Osminkin | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d70…ae13backed Bogdan Seleznev | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Vladimir Osminkin | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 282 | 49.3%139 W · 143 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Vladimir Osminkin | 53c | 22.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.