Tennis · resolved market
ITF Rognac: Clement Lemire vs Julio Cesar Porras
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x186e0d88d944de8cb2d8bf2a0be851c64969d3cc1e14f274c692d5282f10bf58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Julio Cesar Porrasof Clement Lemire, Julio Cesar Porras
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Julio Cesar Porras | 58c | 5,360$3,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.13 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Clement Lemire | 40c | 4,222$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.56 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5455…8b2abacked Clement Lemire | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Julio Cesar Porras | 59c | 828.33$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.52 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Julio Cesar Porras | 61c | 259$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.31 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…96d1backed Clement Lemire | 62c | 204.18$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.59 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Clement Lemire | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Clement Lemire | 48c | 125.79$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Clement Lemire | 43c | 84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 348 | 64.1%223 W · 125 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Clement Lemire | 47c | 79.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Clement Lemire | 51c | 77.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Julio Cesar Porras | 49c | 77.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.32 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Julio Cesar Porras | 53c | 73.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Julio Cesar Porras | 67c | 66.18$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Julio Cesar Porras | 62c | 50.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Julio Cesar Porras | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Julio Cesar Porras | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Julio Cesar Porras | 61c | 49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Julio Cesar Porras | 52c | 44.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Julio Cesar Porras | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Clement Lemire | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Julio Cesar Porras | 51c | 37.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Julio Cesar Porras | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaba4…3fa6backed Clement Lemire | 50c | 29.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Julio Cesar Porras | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Julio Cesar Porras | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5534…cb20backed Clement Lemire | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Julio Cesar Porras | 59c | 24.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 252 | 59.9%151 W · 101 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Julio Cesar Porras | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Clement Lemire | 47c | 23.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Clement Lemire | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.