Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Mark Lajal vs Tomas Etcheverry
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x187719b3daeaec747b71f3a079fb6d9f5853e721fff51b2a597a05bb23f358e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Etcheverryof Lajal, Etcheverry
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Etcheverry | 64c | 6,266$4,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.53 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lajal | 43c | 5,538$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.05 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Etcheverry | 57c | 1,753$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.44 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Lajal | 31c | 1,000$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.09 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Lajal | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Etcheverry | 67c | 812.48$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Lajal | 50c | 812.24$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.02 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Lajal | 47c | 776.09$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.63 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Etcheverry | 54c | 748.52$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.3 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Lajal | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Lajal | 42c | 433.72$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.4 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Etcheverry | 60c | 402$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.36 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Lajal | 57c | 301.75$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7929…7415backed Etcheverry | 39c | 248.41$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Etcheverry | 46c | 194.13$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.83 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Lajal | 61c | 150.35$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.18 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Etcheverry | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Lajal | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lajal | 26c | 108.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lajal | 54c | 79.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Lajal | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Etcheverry | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Etcheverry | 47c | 63.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lajal | 57c | 46.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c88…8570backed Etcheverry | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Etcheverry | 62c | 36.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…745ebacked Lajal | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.