World Politics · resolved market
Will Mariana Mortágua be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1927e2109d38b64952586466cc391734a3dd19054cc0607d3f5ce2dee8472428
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,016,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,016,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x825f…da87backed Yes | 0c | 17,421$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 15,736$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.94 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 12,305$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0071…1e02backed Yes | 1c | 10,362$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…7742backed Yes | 1c | 10,362$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…7050backed Yes | 1c | 8,635$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45e…a5c2backed Yes | 1c | 8,635$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…23a0backed Yes | 1c | 8,635$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387b…35b1backed Yes | 1c | 8,635$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…afe3backed Yes | 1c | 8,635$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…e440backed Yes | 1c | 8,635$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x152d…a726backed Yes | 1c | 8,635$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe97…585ebacked Yes | 1c | 8,635$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…430ebacked Yes | 1c | 8,635$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…fe21backed Yes | 1c | 7,714$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…aceebacked Yes | 1c | 7,311$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc48b…2bb1backed Yes | 1c | 7,111$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf733…2020backed Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2d…ff3fbacked Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0750…7da4backed Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd1…b28abacked Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…5113backed Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb1…f898backed Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc0…befbbacked Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…0b7dbacked Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb280…f1aebacked Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b4…cf9cbacked Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a4…24a7backed Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbef…0d47backed Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x861b…9fd6backed Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e6…940dbacked Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98b9…b900backed Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051f…8aebbacked Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe383…2247backed Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a24…949cbacked Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9074…2775backed Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…12aabacked Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4396…6316backed Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…86c0backed Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b2…3c01backed Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf289…8a3dbacked Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed1…7a73backed Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…773cbacked Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb0…499fbacked Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x153b…e908backed Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d8…2a86backed Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…b87fbacked Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4e…f9bfbacked Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…49e8backed Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e20…1867backed Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a62…5c8abacked Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0713…fcf2backed Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace7…2f0cbacked Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…b80cbacked Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf69…e617backed Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…b8f8backed Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee9…4b1abacked Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x150b…e393backed Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a4…d169backed Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x279a…4f13backed Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8210…da7abacked Yes | 1c | 6,908$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaee…ed18backed Yes | 1c | 6,749$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x960c…476ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,549$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dec…6c74backed Yes | 1c | 6,349$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a78…775ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,349$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d91…271fbacked Yes | 1c | 6,346$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6143…1d6fbacked Yes | 1c | 6,346$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x553f…2156backed Yes | 1c | 6,146$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc945…fbd5backed Yes | 1c | 6,146$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3353…05e9backed Yes | 1c | 5,787$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…235fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,784$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2655…6df2backed Yes | 1c | 5,584$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb788…71d6backed Yes | 1c | 5,584$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…732bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,584$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…0382backed Yes | 1c | 5,384$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…c91fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,384$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7422…0e2bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,181$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf400…1a2bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,181$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd0…3ac2backed Yes | 1c | 5,181$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f4…4b77backed Yes | 1c | 5,181$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a2…b43fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,181$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…cf85backed Yes | 1c | 5,181$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a8…5440backed Yes | 1c | 5,181$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…a0e1backed Yes | 1c | 5,181$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9818…5bbcbacked Yes | 1c | 5,181$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa92…cdf6backed Yes | 1c | 5,181$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…f2d6backed Yes | 1c | 5,181$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63cd…10c0backed Yes | 1c | 5,181$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11c2…57a4backed Yes | 1c | 5,181$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96aa…d1a9backed Yes | 1c | 5,181$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe184…ce77backed Yes | 1c | 5,181$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe1…1f7cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,181$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc2…72c0backed Yes | 1c | 5,181$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162d…87b9backed Yes | 1c | 5,181$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe43c…8bb5backed Yes | 1c | 5,181$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1d…e7eabacked Yes | 1c | 5,181$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b10…5a57backed Yes | 1c | 5,181$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x656d…c432backed Yes | 1c | 5,181$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…d2dfbacked Yes | 1c | 5,181$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x593d…a439backed Yes | 1c | 5,181$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mariana Mortágua be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?this page
- Will André Ventura be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?No won
- Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?Yes won
- Will Paulo Raimundo be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?No won
- Will Pedro Nuno Santos be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?No won
- Will Rui Rocha be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.