World Politics · resolved market
Will Rui Rocha be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5083c3f6dd5d61450545f295d957c18c8354f1a0d9e0558de2e2dfb5fe715c44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,811,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,811,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 350 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 21,693$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.71 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c3…490bbacked Yes | 0c | 12,210$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a21…f657backed Yes | 0c | 8,322$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…0d9cbacked Yes | 0c | 7,935$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf53f…badcbacked Yes | 0c | 7,935$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x487a…8785backed Yes | 0c | 7,935$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…3759backed Yes | 0c | 7,935$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e9…3a54backed Yes | 0c | 7,922$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…b04dbacked Yes | 0c | 7,535$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ab…7cb1backed Yes | 1c | 7,148$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01d…d47bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,148$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…3ababacked Yes | 1c | 7,148$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca4…31ddbacked Yes | 1c | 7,148$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb5…d541backed Yes | 1c | 7,148$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd517…68aabacked Yes | 1c | 7,148$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9342…b073backed Yes | 1c | 7,148$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3de…d8c4backed Yes | 0c | 7,135$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e60…07d7backed Yes | 0c | 7,135$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e30…4742backed Yes | 0c | 7,135$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…097ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,948$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee9…bc1abacked Yes | 1c | 6,748$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad2…8056backed Yes | 0c | 6,735$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c1…eee6backed Yes | 0c | 6,735$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ba…35b5backed Yes | 0c | 6,735$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0618…3b50backed Yes | 0c | 6,735$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa5…4110backed Yes | 0c | 6,735$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…1d06backed Yes | 0c | 6,735$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…5972backed Yes | 0c | 6,348$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…118fbacked Yes | 0c | 6,348$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7d…8cf2backed Yes | 0c | 6,348$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…7b05backed Yes | 0c | 6,348$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2c…abb1backed Yes | 0c | 6,348$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4e…933cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,948$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x713a…858cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,948$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x119b…df48backed Yes | 0c | 5,948$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9312…4a34backed Yes | 0c | 5,935$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa56b…b1d5backed Yes | 0c | 5,548$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8175…9a99backed Yes | 0c | 5,548$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4df…ff2cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,548$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a99…925bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,548$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a04…5a82backed Yes | 0c | 5,548$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c0…2516backed Yes | 0c | 5,548$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…c626backed Yes | 0c | 5,548$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54c…e0bebacked Yes | 0c | 5,548$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…f8e0backed Yes | 0c | 5,548$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc0…b473backed Yes | 0c | 5,548$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…1023backed Yes | 0c | 5,548$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…e317backed Yes | 0c | 5,548$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…5764backed Yes | 0c | 5,548$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7139…13febacked Yes | 0c | 5,548$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…e1e5backed Yes | 1c | 5,361$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94aa…33eebacked Yes | 1c | 5,361$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718b…01cebacked Yes | 1c | 5,361$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a9…3533backed Yes | 1c | 5,361$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d2…e884backed Yes | 1c | 5,361$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac2…549cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,361$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb559…04debacked Yes | 1c | 5,361$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72dc…04dabacked Yes | 1c | 5,361$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca0…fef0backed Yes | 1c | 5,361$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…0cf0backed Yes | 1c | 5,361$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8da…2b78backed Yes | 1c | 5,361$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc19…d3bfbacked Yes | 1c | 5,361$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4634…d7f0backed Yes | 1c | 5,361$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a39…3a4cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,361$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc469…28dfbacked Yes | 1c | 5,361$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…077bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,361$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2b…b8e3backed Yes | 1c | 5,361$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3c…a186backed Yes | 1c | 5,361$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x364d…600fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,361$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8209…28cabacked Yes | 1c | 5,361$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b80…521abacked Yes | 1c | 5,361$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…156cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,361$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd184…4cf9backed Yes | 1c | 5,361$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a5…b97cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,361$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9c…528cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,361$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd97a…02e4backed Yes | 1c | 5,161$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0da…f914backed Yes | 1c | 5,161$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bf…869ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,161$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x054c…8cf1backed Yes | 1c | 5,161$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…929fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,161$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…7754backed Yes | 1c | 5,161$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c6…20dabacked Yes | 1c | 5,161$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cb…6385backed Yes | 1c | 5,161$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064c…9a11backed Yes | 0c | 5,148$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x737c…fb24backed Yes | 0c | 5,148$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a10…9ccbbacked Yes | 0c | 5,148$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…9427backed Yes | 0c | 5,148$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…4140backed Yes | 0c | 5,148$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…d887backed Yes | 0c | 5,148$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa28d…e546backed Yes | 0c | 5,148$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9018…042ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,148$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…aa8bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,148$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f04…d838backed Yes | 0c | 5,148$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec8…ce8bbacked Yes | 0c | 4,961$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0c…dfc2backed Yes | 0c | 4,761$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01f0…c1aabacked Yes | 0c | 4,761$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7666…d767backed Yes | 0c | 4,761$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56a…3c14backed Yes | 0c | 4,761$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…cc40backed Yes | 0c | 4,761$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rui Rocha be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?this page
- Will André Ventura be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?No won
- Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?Yes won
- Will Mariana Mortágua be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?No won
- Will Paulo Raimundo be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?No won
- Will Pedro Nuno Santos be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.