F1 · resolved market
Who will finish higher: Verstappen or Hadjar?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19a3f350103fb861a303578d6862e9b802c4a7ae020ab98bd810659daf4354d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Verstappenof Verstappen, Hadjar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,266 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb064…0b34backed Verstappen | 44c | 3,223$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hadjar | 55c | 2,326$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.27 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Hadjar | 58c | 506$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.64 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…7ad6backed Hadjar | 48c | 310$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.2 | 100 | 65%65 W · 35 L | +20.3wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa23b…af4bbacked Verstappen | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Hadjar | 55c | 176.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23f8…d139backed Verstappen | 53c | 125.44$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Verstappen | 49c | 105$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | +14.2wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc548…c22ebacked Hadjar | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…d461backed Hadjar | 64c | 48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Hadjar | 44c | 44.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Hadjar | 48c | 42.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…f7b1backed Verstappen | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…06acbacked Hadjar | 55c | 40.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…cdc2backed Hadjar | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…4b22backed Hadjar | 59c | 34.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Hadjar | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x123f…c241backed Verstappen | 39c | 25.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +119.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89d6…5cdfbacked Hadjar | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Who will finish higher: Verstappen or Hadjar?this page
- Who will finish higher: Albon or Sainz?Albon won
- Who will finish higher: Alonso or Stroll?Stroll won
- Who will finish higher: Bortoleto or Hulkenberg?Bortoleto won
- Who will finish higher: Colapinto or Gasly?Gasly won
- Who will finish higher: Hamilton or Norris?Hamilton won
- Who will finish higher: Hamilton or Piastri?Hamilton won
- Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Piastri?Leclerc won
- Who will finish higher: Lindblad or Lawson?Lindblad won
- Who will finish higher: Norris or Piastri?Norris won
- Who will finish higher: Piastri or Russell?Russell won
- Who will finish higher: Pérez or Bottas?Pérez won
- Who will finish higher: Verstappen or Hamilton?Hamilton won
- Who will finish higher: Verstappen or Leclerc?Leclerc won
- Who will finish higher: Verstappen or Norris?Norris won
- Who will finish higher: Verstappen or Piastri?Verstappen won
- Who will finish higher: Verstappen or Russell?Russell won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.