Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19d5ceb765b539c73287fc6cd6572afea9f83259477bdfb1000f419f7f37ed88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 47c | 2,985$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.73 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e7…ac8ebacked Over | 45c | 1,810$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.39 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 52c | 1,110$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.79 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Under | 48c | 811.31$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.24 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…59e9backed Under | 73c | 782.86$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.48 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked Over | 51c | 684.27$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.98 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…d0dbbacked Under | 55c | 625$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 47c | 618.77$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.95 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 49c | 504.99$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.55 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Under | 57c | 465.12$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Over | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 282 | 35.1%99 W · 183 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 47c | 402.17$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.15 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 52c | 305.67$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.11 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Under | 50c | 296.14$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.07 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Over | 51c | 272.97$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.21 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Under | 49c | 257.27$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.21 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Under | 50c | 210$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Over | 50c | 198.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Under | 52c | 109.06$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 52c | 108.17$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Under | 47c | 105.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.75 | 273 | 48%131 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Over | 48c | 81.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…a2bebacked Under | 56c | 78.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 51c | 58.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 54c | 30.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fed…e9cabacked Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0aa…7a60backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f5…3cabbacked Over | 51c | 26.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed Under | 48c | 26.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5000…c2bebacked Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed Under | 52c | 21.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x134d…b07bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 31.4%32 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Team WE won
- First Blood in Game 2?LGD Gaming won
- Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)Team WE won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTeam WE won
- LoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 WinnerTeam WE won
- LoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerTeam WE won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.