Tennis · resolved market
ITF Vitoria-Gasteiz: Martyna Kubka vs Han Shi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a0b6e35b9810c8a7a8972d2da36ec8fd7f00b2293e054c493737af4f7eebcf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Martyna Kubkaof Martyna Kubka, Han Shi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Martyna Kubka | 57c | 2,247$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.57 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Han Shi | 43c | 2,122$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.65 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Martyna Kubka | 24c | 1,409$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.04 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Han Shi | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Martyna Kubka | 60c | 432.49$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.36 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Han Shi | 25c | 296.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.78 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Han Shi | 43c | 252.51$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.58 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Han Shi | 11c | 216.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Han Shi | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Han Shi | 35c | 162.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Martyna Kubka | 75c | 155.95$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Han Shi | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Martyna Kubka | 57c | 81.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Han Shi | 26c | 57.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Martyna Kubka | 39c | 55.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Martyna Kubka | 63c | 52.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Han Shi | 45c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Han Shi | 40c | 46.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Han Shi | 26c | 38.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Martyna Kubka | 32c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 284 | 37.3%106 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Han Shi | 44c | 32.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Han Shi | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Martyna Kubka | 56c | 23.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…51bfbacked Han Shi | 50c | 22.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Martyna Kubka | 63c | 19.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.