Asian League · resolved market
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a32919d712720b4dd11af58645624a05d38d5914ca59a2f91f835db72c40a26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 53c | 4,444$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.31 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 62c | 3,175$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.7 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 859.06$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.48 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 40c | 643.21$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.23 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 59c | 575.41$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.95 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 38c | 505.64$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.57 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 25c | 493.56$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.92 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Over | 19c | 448.85$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.17 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Under | 75c | 394$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 28c | 348.75$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 45c | 347.67$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.45 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 292.86$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.74 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 78c | 267.54$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…82d1backed Under | 77c | 254.65$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 26c | 209.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 427 | 25.8%110 W · 317 L | -34.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 62c | 191.29$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.83 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 36c | 184.85$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Under | 78c | 176.67$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.34 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 52c | 174.14$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.42 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 52c | 171.33$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.06 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 51c | 171$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.54 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 51c | 171$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.54 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 47c | 103.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.05 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Over | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17a1…8501backed Over | 25c | 100.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 38c | 81.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 377 | 59.4%224 W · 153 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Under | 61c | 80.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 63c | 72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 39c | 65.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 24c | 63.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 76c | 62.57$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 76c | 62.57$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 76c | 60.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 52c | 55.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 64c | 48.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…efe8backed Over | 31c | 39.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 66c | 36.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Under | 76c | 35.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 74c | 33.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 42c | 32.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 69c | 31.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 69c | 31.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under | 79c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Under | 69c | 17.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f60…b078backed Under | 80c | 16.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Under | 79c | 15.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x63c3…a7fdbacked Under | 76c | 14.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.