Asian League · resolved market
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5649fa57bda7a63a422b40a961cdba7adb61ab177f84596a64f12a478840a061
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34f6…4535backed Over | 65c | 10,658$6,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,689.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 35c | 6,821$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,357.04 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 1,398$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.89 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 35c | 1,120$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.32 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 39c | 492.29$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.9 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 58c | 417.43$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.67 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 50c | 254.3$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.15 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 36c | 237.58$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.49 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 34c | 214.4$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.96 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 36c | 204.23$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.59 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 61c | 191$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.49 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 36c | 154.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.14 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 64c | 129.18$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 43c | 113.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 75c | 85.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 66 | 92.4%61 W · 5 L | +17.8wins | +0.27per pick | 65cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 68c | 59.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 44c | 57.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Under | 33c | 47.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 36c | 46.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e8…0ba0backed Under | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Over | 44c | 45.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e41…f180backed Over | 64c | 40.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 64c | 39.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 61c | 39.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e8…c0e2backed Under | 38c | 37.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Under | 38c | 36.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 51c | 34.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 60c | 32.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9c…c6debacked Under | 50c | 27.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 42c | 26.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…cccabacked Under | 52c | 25.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 58c | 25.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 63c | 25.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 56c | 24.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Over | 64c | 22.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63fc…4a6cbacked Over | 64c | 22.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 64c | 17.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 61c | 17.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 64c | 16.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 68c | 15.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.