Asian League · resolved market
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10ecd5fe8854e4c20437d80ae5e974ab81db8df5ebe571188ea7b708273e9b40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 11c | 1,940$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.97 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Over | 11c | 1,795$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.66 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7f…657ebacked Over | 3c | 1,478$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 17c | 757.9$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.84 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 8c | 348.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5054backed Under | 73c | 169.86$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0323…5dedbacked Over | 27c | 167.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 19c | 106.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 21c | 65.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 18c | 57.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under | 79c | 13.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.87 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…3003backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 80cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.