Asian League · resolved market
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34b3497cf2fc6ea8e8b54e2d6bd24a566de38d8e5ccb6f6e8ddea7226bd82d8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 829.83$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.94 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 27c | 347.03$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.7 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 72c | 308.94$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.86 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 51c | 264.27$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.43 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 67c | 219.75$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.57 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 74c | 147.43$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 76.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 58c | 68.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 58c | 64.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…c3bbbacked No | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 62c | 44.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…8320backed Yes | 61c | 43.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Yes | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 62c | 32.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 52c | 27.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed No | 38c | 26.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Yes | 48c | 26.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +7.6wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 64c | 24.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes | 53c | 19.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.