Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb590ef3c14b9636786ad835b315afb5b688d08b1250108764e06115efeb2167a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dalian Yingbo FCof Shandong Taishan FC, Dalian Yingbo FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Dalian Yingbo FC | 74c | 2,935$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.92 | 2,566 | 42.1%1,081 W · 1,485 L | +52.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Shandong Taishan FC | 32c | 2,398$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.07 | 251 | 23.1%58 W · 193 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed Shandong Taishan FC | 29c | 1,419$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…ccd1backed Shandong Taishan FC | 31c | 1,115$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.64 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 71c | 977.59$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.6 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Dalian Yingbo FC | 66c | 614.83$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.45 | 1,796 | 50.2%902 W · 894 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Shandong Taishan FC | 18c | 447.12$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.13 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Shandong Taishan FC | 18c | 290.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 1,656 | 50.8%841 W · 815 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Shandong Taishan FC | 26c | 183.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Shandong Taishan FC | 29c | 125$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 937 | 46%431 W · 506 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Shandong Taishan FC | 29c | 124.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 1,143 | 46.5%531 W · 612 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…a8c2backed Shandong Taishan FC | 42c | 99.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Shandong Taishan FC | 22c | 96.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 66c | 94$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 2,036 | 54.2%1,104 W · 932 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Shandong Taishan FC | 35c | 65.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 74c | 53.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Shandong Taishan FC | 37c | 52.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 69c | 41.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 474 | 55.5%263 W · 211 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 65c | 20.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 66c | 15.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Dalian Yingbo FC | 73c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)this page
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.