Euroleague · resolved market
Anadolu Efes vs. Saski Baskonia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a6c468a3bbd16f8bb0ddae03c6b6238f9616644e60b2c7161d6aca02b5ac53c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saski Baskoniaof Anadolu Efes, Saski Baskonia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Anadolu Efes | 49c | 1,834$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Saski Baskonia | 52c | 1,442$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.55 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Anadolu Efes | 53c | 935.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Saski Baskonia | 41c | 619.31$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.57 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Saski Baskonia | 46c | 603$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.35 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Saski Baskonia | 53c | 550.51$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.85 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Saski Baskonia | 43c | 440.24$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.81 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Saski Baskonia | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.41 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Anadolu Efes | 63c | 396$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Saski Baskonia | 60c | 390.01$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.75 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Anadolu Efes | 50c | 300.79$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…2f9cbacked Anadolu Efes | 59c | 285$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.3 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Anadolu Efes | 64c | 274.27$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.02 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Saski Baskonia | 35c | 246$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Saski Baskonia | 58c | 226$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.98 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…450cbacked Anadolu Efes | 60c | 224$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Saski Baskonia | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Saski Baskonia | 35c | 198.76$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.91 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Anadolu Efes | 65c | 167$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Saski Baskonia | 38c | 151.77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.64 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Anadolu Efes | 65c | 148.17$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.31 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Anadolu Efes | 62c | 136.18$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Anadolu Efes | 65c | 127$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.55 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.8wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Saski Baskonia | 59c | 109.23$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Anadolu Efes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Anadolu Efes | 65c | 90$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Anadolu Efes | 65c | 88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Saski Baskonia | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Saski Baskonia | 75c | 72.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Anadolu Efes | 64c | 67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Anadolu Efes | 65c | 66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Anadolu Efes | 65c | 66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Anadolu Efes | 68c | 57.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Anadolu Efes | 65c | 57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Saski Baskonia | 35c | 56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3789…e42fbacked Saski Baskonia | 36c | 55.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +179.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Anadolu Efes | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Anadolu Efes | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Saski Baskonia | 43c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Saski Baskonia | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Saski Baskonia | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Saski Baskonia | 38c | 29.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Saski Baskonia | 35c | 29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Saski Baskonia | 35c | 29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Saski Baskonia | 35c | 29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Saski Baskonia | 35c | 29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Saski Baskonia | 35c | 29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Anadolu Efes | 65c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Anadolu Efes | 65c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.