TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Panama 1 - 1 England?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,671
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,131

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,671 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes5c7,355$403 inLost-$403.128,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes5c2,484$124 inLost-$124.22,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9444…575fbacked Yes5c2,000$100 inLost-$100190%0 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes7c2,000$140 inLost-$139.9952522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefe5…6f6bbacked Yes5c1,937$97 inLost-$96.85513.9%2 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x975e…f875backed Yes5c800$40 inLost-$407946.8%37 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes5c705.41$35 inLost-$35.271,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes6c701.19$39 inLost-$39.494,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5425…d3e8backed Yes5c600$30 inLost-$3015127.8%42 W · 109 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes9c507.48$46 inLost-$45.672,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes4c400$16 inLost-$1650833.3%169 W · 339 L-35.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x868b…2106backed Yes5c400$20 inLost-$2020626.2%54 W · 152 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Yes8c382.25$29 inLost-$2934526.1%90 W · 255 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfd…038bbacked Yes4c326.16$13 inLost-$13.0536423.6%86 W · 278 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d69…1ccfbacked Yes5c300$15 inLost-$158422.6%19 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x874a…b381backed Yes5c300$15 inLost-$155819%11 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick19cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc17…cdb5backed Yes5c260$13 inLost-$13277.4%2 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Yes8c251.34$20 inLost-$2025842.2%109 W · 149 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5816…8167backed Yes5c200$10 inLost-$1016920.1%34 W · 135 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+47.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes5c200$10 inLost-$1035612.6%45 W · 311 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…3bbebacked Yes5c200$10 inLost-$108923.6%21 W · 68 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-47.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d52…9b87backed Yes8c187.5$15 inLost-$151546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+80.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes6c187.35$11 inLost-$11.181,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b53…ce04backed Yes6c163.12$10 inLost-$1010610.4%11 W · 95 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-44.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb433…2d5dbacked Yes7c157.14$11 inLost-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.