Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Panama 1 - 3 England?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e708c1de458b8e4e414854808bf541d0bebe5ff9639429f6fe40e475f927a1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 33,443$2,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,632.2 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 8c | 8,482$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.56 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 6c | 4,676$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.92 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 8c | 4,438$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.07 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 8c | 4,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 3c | 3,051$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.12 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes | 8c | 3,012$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.94 | 290 | 17.6%51 W · 239 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Yes | 8c | 2,250$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 237 | 36.3%86 W · 151 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 2c | 1,301$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…aa04backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9029…7c5abacked Yes | 8c | 937.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d6…e7acbacked Yes | 8c | 843.27$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.46 | 97 | 17.5%17 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc32a…f7ebbacked Yes | 7c | 750$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 121 | 9.1%11 W · 110 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 3c | 699.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…8e40backed Yes | 9c | 693.36$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6366…8c41backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 24.2%54 W · 169 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…252dbacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20f…6ccebacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f24…0bd0backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d9…5442backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 8c | 606$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 11c | 575.03$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 6c | 538.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1984…264bbacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…73e7backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 145 | 23.4%34 W · 111 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…c20ebacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 113 | 7.1%8 W · 105 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb349…d14bbacked Yes | 8c | 420$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 276 | 37.7%104 W · 172 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…3ad7backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a8…d7b7backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 204 | 27.5%56 W · 148 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaec9…8de6backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 139 | 30.9%43 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…7218backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 15c | 369.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 372 | 37.4%139 W · 233 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8e…664abacked Yes | 8c | 364.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae0…f46ebacked Yes | 8c | 363.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 121 | 24%29 W · 92 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a9…0e2fbacked Yes | 8c | 287.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 11c | 273$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 7c | 271.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…3fd0backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 37.3%59 W · 99 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea4…106ebacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f3…ebc0backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 264 | 24.6%65 W · 199 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…1462backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 311 | 19.3%60 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 287 | 16.4%47 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bed…438cbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 29.6%40 W · 95 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…37b9backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 14.9%17 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…913bbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 300 | 11.3%34 W · 266 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…1eb3backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71c…5d7ebacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8547…ec4fbacked Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28fa…ac01backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 8c | 183$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 24c | 160$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 22c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…cdb5backed Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7e…3b4fbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16a6…f291backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8e…37d1backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 15.6%14 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…a8d3backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6243…0e83backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0060…5dd4backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 173 | 12.7%22 W · 151 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb84…1e5bbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…ca87backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 28.6%73 W · 182 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da0…5fe0backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9d…bf58backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x874a…b381backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1af…3bcbbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ff…b050backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b4…8200backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8851…4e02backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cda…de81backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2a…f043backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa617…e2c2backed Yes | 10c | 100.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…754bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Panama 1 - 3 England?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 0 - 0 England?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 0 - 1 England?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 0 - 2 England?Yes won
- Exact Score: Panama 0 - 3 England?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 1 - 0 England?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 1 - 1 England?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 1 - 2 England?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 2 - 0 England?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 2 - 1 England?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 2 - 2 England?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 2 - 3 England?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 3 - 0 England?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 3 - 1 England?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 3 - 2 England?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 3 - 3 England?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.