Europa Conference League · resolved market
FK Sarajevo vs. FC Inter Turku: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1adf73a09f44a86126c72e5481868f61e1c5b9af68329aaed3e96725ad9f1aa1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x946a…2360backed Under | 36c | 2,578$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 636.4$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.08 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 54c | 463.5$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.29 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 53c | 446.99$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.76 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 55c | 414.38$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.13 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 54c | 401.48$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.45 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 43c | 308.1$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.8 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 59c | 283.46$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.36 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 55c | 240$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Over | 43c | 225$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 41cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d37…f790backed Under | 45c | 213.07$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Over | 47c | 205$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 47c | 182.7$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.68 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 179.41$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 60c | 139.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 44c | 105$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 56c | 103.9$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 49c | 97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 47c | 94.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 49c | 92.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 46c | 89.18$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Under | 45c | 83.81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 49c | 82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 23c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 53c | 68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 74c | 67.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -15.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 63c | 64.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 67c | 56.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 46c | 48.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 45c | 48.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 47c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 50c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 46.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 44.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 54c | 44.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Under | 44c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 55c | 20.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over | 67c | 18.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Sarajevo vs. FC Inter Turku: O/U 2.5this page
- FK Sarajevo vs. FC Inter Turku: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Sarajevo vs. FC Inter Turku: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FK Sarajevo vs. FC Inter Turku: FC Inter Turku O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Sarajevo vs. FC Inter Turku: FK Sarajevo O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Sarajevo vs. FC Inter Turku: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Sarajevo vs. FC Inter Turku: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Sarajevo vs. FC Inter Turku: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FK Sarajevo (-1.5)FC Inter Turku won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.