Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Karl Poling
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b9cf06f8bdfba2523d6f9d0b135edf1c529c72e864333251196b38c2626c261
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karl Polingof Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes, Karl Poling
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Karl Poling | 44c | 8,769$3,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,920.56 | 11,779 | 43.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L | +20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 67c | 1,799$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.33 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 72c | 1,677$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211 | 1,106 | 60.2%666 W · 440 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 34c | 1,568$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.12 | 380 | 49.5%188 W · 192 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…6f91backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 43c | 1,172$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 76c | 1,053$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 41c | 1,022$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.03 | 1,788 | 48.8%872 W · 916 L | +31.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 67c | 370.39$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3,885 | 55%2,137 W · 1,748 L | +111.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Karl Poling | 63c | 340$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.8 | 1,073 | 57.6%618 W · 455 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Karl Poling | 43c | 320.28$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.77 | 1,316 | 39%513 W · 803 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 34c | 289.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Karl Poling | 38c | 257.84$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.97 | 8,834 | 42.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L | -169.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Karl Poling | 51c | 220$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.36 | 5,553 | 48.6%2,700 W · 2,853 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 34c | 219.41$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.6 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadeb…5850backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 36c | 211.11$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Karl Poling | 57c | 148.54$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.12 | 3,749 | 42.5%1,594 W · 2,155 L | -44.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 42c | 143.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 834 | 57.1%476 W · 358 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Karl Poling | 57c | 129.76$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 6,649 | 46.3%3,079 W · 3,570 L | -38.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…0304backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Karl Poling | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 6,798 | 36.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Karl Poling | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 795 | 38.4%305 W · 490 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 431 | 52%224 W · 207 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 328 | 57.6%189 W · 139 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 906 | 54.6%495 W · 411 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 967 | 55.9%541 W · 426 L | +21.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 981 | 56%549 W · 432 L | +23.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,023 | 50%511 W · 512 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 64c | 51.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 486 | 66.5%323 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Karl Poling | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 988 | 55.5%548 W · 440 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 61c | 46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 376 | 58%218 W · 158 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 553 | 57%315 W · 238 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 63c | 39.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Karl Poling | 37c | 37.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed Karl Poling | 64c | 35.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Karl Poling | 42c | 31.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 480 | 46.3%222 W · 258 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Karl Poling | 79c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 2,145 | 56%1,201 W · 944 L | +41.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Karl Poling | 61c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 4,684 | 48.3%2,264 W · 2,420 L | +35.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,043 | 54.3%566 W · 477 L | +38.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 294 | 68.7%202 W · 92 L | +14.3wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.