Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bb2fbd16acd43c2f2e3b1e82de8e8ae4a86aa76e24eec2f4c9a848a5aaeb8cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UT Arlington Mavericksof UT Arlington Mavericks, Abilene Christian Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,260 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 58c | 5,303$3,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.25 | 269 | 45.7%123 W · 146 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 53c | 2,055$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.36 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 46c | 1,528$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.16 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 58c | 1,401$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.86 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 53c | 1,194$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.84 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 43c | 1,042$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.72 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 52c | 917.67$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.19 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 50c | 780.47$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.97 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 40c | 755.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.41 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 28c | 615.21$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.7 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 53c | 406.91$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.36 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 48c | 396.51$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.18 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 66c | 375.11$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.08 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 47c | 359.22$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.39 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 48c | 309.77$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.08 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 51c | 297.38$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.71 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 48c | 289.45$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.51 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 66c | 256.07$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 47c | 252.87$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.02 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 48c | 247.82$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.86 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 27c | 198.82$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.39 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 48c | 198.25$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.09 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…d58cbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 53c | 187.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 30c | 163.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 46c | 149.7$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 39c | 149.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaad5…ac2ebacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 49c | 142.87$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.48 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 48c | 142.44$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.46 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…28abbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 42c | 124.93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 59c | 119.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.01 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 36c | 111.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 48c | 104.34$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.81 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…a7b8backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 47c | 99.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.77 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 52c | 93.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 53c | 93.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 49c | 77.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 67c | 63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 52c | 60.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 58c | 59.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 59c | 56.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 51c | 48.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 68c | 48.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 54c | 45.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 53c | 39.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 44c | 36.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…dd4fbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5d…5bc8backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 75c | 24.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd56…048fbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 80c | 19.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf08d…d45fbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 68c | 19.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Abilene Christian Wildcatsthis page
- UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats: O/U 132.5Under won
- UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats: O/U 134.5Under won
- UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats: O/U 135.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.