Tennis · resolved market
Cordoba: Juan Estevez vs Andrea Collarini
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bb7abce08abffece65a733a7c5381ef0055c50e6f033bfcf3b0580b6267911d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andrea Collariniof Juan Estevez, Andrea Collarini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Juan Estevez | 21c | 2,059$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.17 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Juan Estevez | 39c | 1,207$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.75 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Andrea Collarini | 63c | 1,194$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.71 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Andrea Collarini | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Andrea Collarini | 77c | 979$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.04 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Andrea Collarini | 72c | 596.35$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.31 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Andrea Collarini | 70c | 552.84$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.3 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…a35dbacked Andrea Collarini | 61c | 527.31$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.93 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04c…55d3backed Andrea Collarini | 63c | 502.86$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Juan Estevez | 29c | 501.44$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.7 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Juan Estevez | 22c | 495$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.05 | 292 | 41.8%122 W · 170 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Andrea Collarini | 65c | 460.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.37 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Juan Estevez | 34c | 406.75$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.76 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Andrea Collarini | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Andrea Collarini | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…b387backed Juan Estevez | 35c | 399.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Juan Estevez | 37c | 325.59$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.05 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Juan Estevez | 25c | 305.11$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Juan Estevez | 35c | 300.41$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.14 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Juan Estevez | 29c | 145.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Andrea Collarini | 71c | 141.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Andrea Collarini | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Juan Estevez | 19c | 131.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Juan Estevez | 38c | 121.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Juan Estevez | 20c | 108$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Juan Estevez | 34c | 102.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Andrea Collarini | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Andrea Collarini | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 238 | 65.5%156 W · 82 L | +31.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Juan Estevez | 33c | 99.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Juan Estevez | 32c | 84.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Juan Estevez | 32c | 82.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Juan Estevez | 27c | 79.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Juan Estevez | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Andrea Collarini | 70c | 70.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Andrea Collarini | 73c | 68.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Juan Estevez | 33c | 68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Juan Estevez | 36c | 60.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 163 | 58.9%96 W · 67 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Juan Estevez | 38c | 57.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked Andrea Collarini | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Juan Estevez | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58af…e701backed Juan Estevez | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Juan Estevez | 29c | 48.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Andrea Collarini | 65c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Andrea Collarini | 72c | 42.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Juan Estevez | 35c | 41.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…2296backed Andrea Collarini | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 143 | 69.9%100 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Juan Estevez | 35c | 40.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Andrea Collarini | 74c | 39.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Andrea Collarini | 65c | 37.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Andrea Collarini | 72c | 34.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Andrea Collarini | 79c | 31.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Andrea Collarini | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Juan Estevez | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Andrea Collarini | 69c | 23.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Andrea Collarini | 76c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c97…bcc8backed Andrea Collarini | 67c | 18.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Andrea Collarini | 69c | 17.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50aa…70ddbacked Andrea Collarini | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4592…644bbacked Andrea Collarini | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.