La Liga · resolved market
Málaga CF vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bbba93ad607342707297aeace68c799f01d46b75f4ad77b74d955aa74be504f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 4,516$2,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.07 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 2,441$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.82 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 56c | 1,704$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.14 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 30c | 1,700$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 31c | 1,240$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.63 | 128 | 21.1%27 W · 101 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 64c | 606.61$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 523.94$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.27 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa20f…fcaabacked Over | 74c | 240$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 42c | 228.79$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.09 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 49c | 204.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 57c | 171.43$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 79c | 147.8$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…6fd3backed Over | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…3bd4backed Under | 40c | 124.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 55c | 107.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 26c | 89.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.29 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 76.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 52c | 67.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 50c | 40.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Under | 48c | 40.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 56c | 36.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 66c | 36.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 44c | 29.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 49c | 28.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 56c | 26.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Málaga CF vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 1.5this page
- Málaga CF vs. Albacete Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Málaga CF vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 2.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.