Tennis · resolved market
ITF Horb: Lea Nilsson vs Dayeon Back
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c6aa7715fe0fe3696fec9e67fa6e7c70e821d23cf87e63f11e02ed449fc9c3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lea Nilssonof Lea Nilsson, Dayeon Back
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Dayeon Back | 8c | 3,824$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.03 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lea Nilsson | 80c | 1,556$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.51 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Dayeon Back | 67c | 629.85$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffe…a60fbacked Dayeon Back | 71c | 405.04$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.58 | 166 | 67.5%112 W · 54 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ef…3c3abacked Dayeon Back | 27c | 374.42$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +122.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Dayeon Back | 8c | 359.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Dayeon Back | 51c | 294.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lea Nilsson | 45c | 265.08$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Lea Nilsson | 50c | 185$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 253 | 49%124 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…b16dbacked Dayeon Back | 67c | 162.69$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 281 | 54.8%154 W · 127 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Dayeon Back | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.95 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Dayeon Back | 22c | 147.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Lea Nilsson | 51c | 134.23$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.23 | 472 | 52.1%246 W · 226 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…96d1backed Dayeon Back | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Lea Nilsson | 46c | 113$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.73 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Dayeon Back | 47c | 112.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…46febacked Lea Nilsson | 40c | 79.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 34cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Dayeon Back | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Dayeon Back | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Dayeon Back | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Dayeon Back | 48c | 68.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac0…8af9backed Lea Nilsson | 52c | 68.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Dayeon Back | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Dayeon Back | 73c | 54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa94e…41f2backed Lea Nilsson | 44c | 49.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x583c…86c0backed Lea Nilsson | 43c | 46.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…4b02backed Lea Nilsson | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Dayeon Back | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…1c0bbacked Dayeon Back | 44c | 33.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Dayeon Back | 56c | 28.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 468 | 51.5%241 W · 227 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Dayeon Back | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Dayeon Back | 41c | 26.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Dayeon Back | 63c | 23.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Lea Nilsson | 62c | 22.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Dayeon Back | 59c | 22.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Lea Nilsson | 51c | 22.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked Lea Nilsson | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 303 | 53.5%162 W · 141 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Dayeon Back | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Lea Nilsson | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.