Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Allershausen Men: Hazem Naw vs Bruno Fernandez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cf64be79b21b7a591a90b5ece228d84d0b353514bc94ad431b32277c1068c04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hazem Nawof Hazem Naw, Bruno Fernandez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bruno Fernandez | 49c | 5,811$2,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,822.97 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hazem Naw | 52c | 5,016$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.55 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Hazem Naw | 61c | 1,111$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.29 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Hazem Naw | 47c | 985.97$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.25 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Hazem Naw | 42c | 733.94$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.72 | 221 | 52%115 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Bruno Fernandez | 50c | 724.66$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.98 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Bruno Fernandez | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Hazem Naw | 40c | 490.36$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.89 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Bruno Fernandez | 54c | 381.08$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.73 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Hazem Naw | 53c | 377.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.9 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6535…dd25backed Hazem Naw | 44c | 360.42$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Bruno Fernandez | 47c | 309.82$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.45 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Bruno Fernandez | 53c | 276.45$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.57 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Hazem Naw | 61c | 276$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.64 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Bruno Fernandez | 50c | 227.28$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.07 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hazem Naw | 51c | 217.44$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Hazem Naw | 48c | 207.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.29 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed Hazem Naw | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bruno Fernandez | 51c | 177.84$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.41 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Bruno Fernandez | 55c | 163.64$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Bruno Fernandez | 49c | 159.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.92 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bruno Fernandez | 54c | 142.56$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0868…efe8backed Bruno Fernandez | 22c | 133.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Hazem Naw | 44c | 114.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 443 | 49%217 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Hazem Naw | 49c | 45.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Bruno Fernandez | 51c | 45.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hazem Naw | 49c | 45.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Bruno Fernandez | 51c | 45.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Hazem Naw | 52c | 40.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Bruno Fernandez | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Hazem Naw | 52c | 39.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 427 | 48.7%208 W · 219 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Hazem Naw | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Hazem Naw | 49c | 36.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Hazem Naw | 53c | 36.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Hazem Naw | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 268 | 68.3%183 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Bruno Fernandez | 51c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Bruno Fernandez | 61c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1e…6e1fbacked Hazem Naw | 45c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.