South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-08-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cf7f679be0f11a1d04c9ac34c81555da034429c21b5b196c46288d9b08de165
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdc1…bdd8backed Yes | 61c | 16,441$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,441.38 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 41c | 7,500$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.9 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 39c | 2,883$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.89 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 40c | 2,500$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.5 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 40c | 2,500$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.5 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 59c | 2,089$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.61 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 20c | 2,004$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.71 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 59c | 1,702$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.9 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.01 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 59c | 1,015$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.22 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 39c | 961$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.79 | 312 | 40.1%125 W · 187 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 414.85$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.79 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 40c | 373.58$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.43 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 39c | 313.61$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.17 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 40c | 162.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.97 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 40c | 121.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed No | 41c | 112$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 59c | 95.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 59c | 90.65$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 59c | 88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 722 | 58.6%423 W · 299 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 59c | 73.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…9488backed Yes | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 59c | 63.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…5478backed No | 39c | 53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 40c | 38.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 45c | 35.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 425 | 62.4%265 W · 160 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Yes | 60c | 32.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.7wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 59c | 31.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d5…ab3ebacked No | 40c | 30.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…8cdebacked Yes | 54c | 27.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…9591backed Yes | 56c | 26.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 40c | 25.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 59c | 23.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-08-01?this page
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-08-01?No won
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.