Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Taipei 2 Men: Kasidit Samrej vs Yuki Mochizuki
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d0bedeacd1cc745d244d637bc710e402f8459a3dc450d55aa5523459693596f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kasidit Samrejof Kasidit Samrej, Yuki Mochizuki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kasidit Samrej | 67c | 2,023$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.46 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kasidit Samrej | 66c | 1,752$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.97 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yuki Mochizuki | 34c | 1,400$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.83 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Yuki Mochizuki | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Yuki Mochizuki | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,053 | 40.9%431 W · 622 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Yuki Mochizuki | 37c | 540.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Yuki Mochizuki | 28c | 469.55$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.47 | 214 | 60.3%129 W · 85 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Yuki Mochizuki | 31c | 444.21$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.03 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Kasidit Samrej | 65c | 435.97$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.16 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Kasidit Samrej | 73c | 349.73$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.77 | 436 | 52.1%227 W · 209 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Kasidit Samrej | 72c | 341$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.48 | 568 | 53.9%306 W · 262 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yuki Mochizuki | 20c | 188.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Kasidit Samrej | 72c | 173.61$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…2485backed Yuki Mochizuki | 32c | 157.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Yuki Mochizuki | 37c | 157.18$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kasidit Samrej | 73c | 154.08$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Yuki Mochizuki | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Yuki Mochizuki | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…4d10backed Yuki Mochizuki | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Kasidit Samrej | 69c | 136.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 381 | 48.3%184 W · 197 L | +28.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Yuki Mochizuki | 36c | 134.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 336 | 48.5%163 W · 173 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Yuki Mochizuki | 36c | 126.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Yuki Mochizuki | 36c | 126.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Kasidit Samrej | 72c | 96.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 991 | 48.6%482 W · 509 L | +43.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Yuki Mochizuki | 27c | 93.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 240 | 39.2%94 W · 146 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Kasidit Samrej | 56c | 85.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Yuki Mochizuki | 33c | 78.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 363 | 39.4%143 W · 220 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9800…adf6backed Yuki Mochizuki | 41c | 77.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…72f9backed Yuki Mochizuki | 30c | 63.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kasidit Samrej | 72c | 62.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Yuki Mochizuki | 32c | 60.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 577 | 36.7%212 W · 365 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Kasidit Samrej | 73c | 58.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yuki Mochizuki | 29c | 51.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yuki Mochizuki | 26c | 50.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 569 | 26%148 W · 421 L | -23.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Yuki Mochizuki | 28c | 46.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 375 | 49.1%184 W · 191 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Yuki Mochizuki | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,036 | 54.2%562 W · 474 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec0…13e9backed Yuki Mochizuki | 29c | 41.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Kasidit Samrej | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 392 | 57.7%226 W · 166 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Yuki Mochizuki | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Yuki Mochizuki | 29c | 34.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Yuki Mochizuki | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.