CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Inner Circle Prospect - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d2f1318851a7d52e4919128efe63c996818c36e506206d16d7d3f62d1cd0b41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- STATEof STATE, Inner Circle Prospect
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Inner Circle Prospect | 29c | 767.51$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.79 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Inner Circle Prospect | 23c | 634.08$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.75 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked STATE | 50c | 412.49$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.01 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Inner Circle Prospect | 49c | 210$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42db…3816backed Inner Circle Prospect | 22c | 204$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked STATE | 55c | 200.01$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Inner Circle Prospect | 46c | 166.4$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Inner Circle Prospect | 40c | 162.64$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Inner Circle Prospect | 14c | 160.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked STATE | 67c | 151.91$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed STATE | 62c | 136.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Inner Circle Prospect | 31c | 125.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Inner Circle Prospect | 55c | 118.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 190 | 35.8%68 W · 122 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed STATE | 67c | 107.1$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked STATE | 69c | 105$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked STATE | 66c | 101.26$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d6…3e1ebacked Inner Circle Prospect | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +180.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked STATE | 56c | 85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Inner Circle Prospect | 65c | 68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked STATE | 76c | 61.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…285dbacked STATE | 67c | 41.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked STATE | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 228 | 37.3%85 W · 143 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…c6efbacked STATE | 43c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 189 | 39.2%74 W · 115 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0868…efe8backed STATE | 40c | 37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…cb91backed STATE | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed STATE | 45c | 22.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs Inner Circle Prospect - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs Inner Circle Prospect (BO3) - United21 Group CSTATE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.