Tennis · resolved market
Swiss Indoors Basel: Jenson Brooksby vs Alexandre Muller
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d45d398825908287d532df0ecdd0635b54252b4abe23498ac90b71bb88ff82c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brooksbyof Brooksby, Muller
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x644b…2145backed Muller | 20c | 999$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.69 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Brooksby | 70c | 992.06$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.06 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Muller | 29c | 839.66$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.45 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brooksby | 77c | 718$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.9 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Muller | 15c | 712.05$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.31 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Brooksby | 72c | 600$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa840…2d88backed Muller | 25c | 488$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Muller | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Muller | 30c | 176.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c17…de2bbacked Brooksby | 69c | 164.91$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Muller | 31c | 164.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Muller | 28c | 153.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Muller | 30c | 153.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Brooksby | 75c | 144.57$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Muller | 33c | 122$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Muller | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Muller | 16c | 82.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Brooksby | 79c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Brooksby | 72c | 48.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3412…3a3cbacked Brooksby | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Brooksby | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.