CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d7467ef4e4768f2e05c47025da15ffac1451bb30dd399bee2556cab8df8922e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Novaqof Team Novaq, Oxuji Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,975 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5407…251cbacked Oxuji Esports | 34c | 2,700$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.99 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Novaq | 65c | 2,677$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.83 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Team Novaq | 49c | 1,279$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.01 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Oxuji Esports | 50c | 1,000$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.07 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Novaq | 69c | 794.35$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.25 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Oxuji Esports | 32c | 549.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Oxuji Esports | 3c | 522$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Oxuji Esports | 5c | 513.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed Team Novaq | 75c | 403.74$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.41 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Oxuji Esports | 41c | 392.85$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Novaq | 60c | 349.76$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.42 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449d…fee5backed Team Novaq | 64c | 310.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Oxuji Esports | 41c | 255.98$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.93 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Oxuji Esports | 50c | 250.61$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 121 | 58.7%71 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oxuji Esports | 29c | 197.71$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…c913backed Team Novaq | 58c | 171.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.85 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Oxuji Esports | 61c | 164.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Oxuji Esports | 19c | 143.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a61…588bbacked Oxuji Esports | 44c | 137.65$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Team Novaq | 59c | 134.7$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…fa45backed Team Novaq | 51c | 126.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Oxuji Esports | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…6763backed Team Novaq | 66c | 107.04$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…a7edbacked Oxuji Esports | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Oxuji Esports | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…2224backed Team Novaq | 49c | 83.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Team Novaq | 55c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Oxuji Esports | 36c | 66.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Oxuji Esports | 51c | 59.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…f11abacked Team Novaq | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Oxuji Esports | 40c | 49.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Oxuji Esports | 42c | 47.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6068…1dacbacked Oxuji Esports | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Team Novaq | 49c | 31.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…d4fbbacked Team Novaq | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b8…692fbacked Team Novaq | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Team Novaq | 56c | 23.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +9.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…d8cebacked Oxuji Esports | 48c | 23.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Oxuji Esports | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed Team Novaq | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs Oxuji Esports - Map 2 WinnerOxuji Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.