Tennis · resolved market
ITF Rognac: Alexandre Reco vs Julio Cesar Porras
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1da0174cc824b9a62d0ee82b0956e45e0e9f3d936abcfe5d5ff22f965b780ee3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Julio Cesar Porrasof Alexandre Reco, Julio Cesar Porras
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Julio Cesar Porras | 75c | 18,464$13,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,617.44 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alexandre Reco | 24c | 17,794$4,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,321.78 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Alexandre Reco | 66c | 494.03$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.04 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…6f02backed Julio Cesar Porras | 71c | 309.07$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.14 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 72cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Julio Cesar Porras | 44c | 235.5$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.32 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Alexandre Reco | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Alexandre Reco | 53c | 202.51$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.28 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alexandre Reco | 30c | 128$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Alexandre Reco | 14c | 105$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Alexandre Reco | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Julio Cesar Porras | 47c | 74.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alexandre Reco | 31c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Julio Cesar Porras | 71c | 59.94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Julio Cesar Porras | 72c | 58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Julio Cesar Porras | 47c | 54.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…4f6abacked Julio Cesar Porras | 67c | 50.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Alexandre Reco | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Alexandre Reco | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Julio Cesar Porras | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Julio Cesar Porras | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Julio Cesar Porras | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Julio Cesar Porras | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.