Tennis · resolved market
Cap Cana: Andres Andrade vs Adam Walton
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1da2cd2b1629da1144ce29c7106135f3725798b84cc36cee74cc88150eaeef49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Adam Waltonof Andres Andrade, Adam Walton
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,253 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Andres Andrade | 7c | 3,902$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.91 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…d322backed Adam Walton | 68c | 1,461$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.65 | 120 | 66.7%80 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Andres Andrade | 7c | 1,235$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.08 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Adam Walton | 68c | 893$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.39 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…bd29backed Andres Andrade | 28c | 729.87$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.54 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…b08bbacked Andres Andrade | 34c | 599.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.39 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Andres Andrade | 31c | 543.82$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.67 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Adam Walton | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Andres Andrade | 22c | 450$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 707 | 29.1%206 W · 501 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Andres Andrade | 31c | 403$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.93 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Andres Andrade | 28c | 401$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.14 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Andres Andrade | 33c | 334.06$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.24 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Adam Walton | 68c | 323.53$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.53 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…5c9fbacked Adam Walton | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Andres Andrade | 32c | 226.93$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Adam Walton | 79c | 226$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Adam Walton | 68c | 222.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 402 | 64.4%259 W · 143 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed Andres Andrade | 19c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Andres Andrade | 31c | 180.21$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked Adam Walton | 65c | 168.83$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Andres Andrade | 34c | 161.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.52 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Adam Walton | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Adam Walton | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Andres Andrade | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2818…04a2backed Adam Walton | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Adam Walton | 69c | 140$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Andres Andrade | 33c | 123.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Adam Walton | 66c | 113.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Andres Andrade | 21c | 111.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Adam Walton | 67c | 110.45$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Adam Walton | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Andres Andrade | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Andres Andrade | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Andres Andrade | 34c | 99.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Andres Andrade | 32c | 95.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Andres Andrade | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Andres Andrade | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Andres Andrade | 16c | 70.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…f111backed Andres Andrade | 19c | 63.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Andres Andrade | 33c | 63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Adam Walton | 67c | 62.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47b8…76f2backed Adam Walton | 66c | 62.12$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x277c…e529backed Andres Andrade | 35c | 62.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Andres Andrade | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Adam Walton | 66c | 60.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 262 | 54.6%143 W · 119 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Andres Andrade | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Adam Walton | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Adam Walton | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Andres Andrade | 33c | 46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…1472backed Andres Andrade | 33c | 44.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Andres Andrade | 35c | 41.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x794c…fa17backed Adam Walton | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 150 | 70%105 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Andres Andrade | 33c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…c1d0backed Adam Walton | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Adam Walton | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Adam Walton | 71c | 28.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…644abacked Adam Walton | 79c | 25.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 161 | 75.2%121 W · 40 L | +20.4wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf7…0505backed Adam Walton | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdeb…8cd1backed Adam Walton | 70c | 18.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cap Cana: Andres Andrade vs Adam Waltonthis page
- Andrade vs. Walton: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Andrade vs WaltonWalton won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.