CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs MASONIC (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dbce11f652c1adbdcaaab4ec8a83fca1633a0c569d7fbfcbd929e2254915153
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnersof Sinners, MASONIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MASONIC | 13c | 4,021$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.27 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MASONIC | 35c | 1,583$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.66 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MASONIC | 16c | 1,057$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.19 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Sinners | 64c | 1,016$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.31 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sinners | 61c | 664.48$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.96 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…24d2backed Sinners | 64c | 570$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed MASONIC | 32c | 557.31$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.6 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed MASONIC | 9c | 537.03$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed MASONIC | 26c | 388.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…0cfebacked MASONIC | 12c | 274.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed MASONIC | 27c | 235$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.37 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MASONIC | 28c | 216.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked MASONIC | 19c | 214.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed MASONIC | 27c | 178$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf8…1e82backed MASONIC | 39c | 172.29$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed MASONIC | 13c | 169.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed MASONIC | 20c | 160$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Sinners | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 69 | 68.1%47 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked MASONIC | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa81…44a9backed MASONIC | 26c | 108.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MASONIC | 12c | 108.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked MASONIC | 28c | 93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MASONIC | 21c | 82.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed MASONIC | 27c | 72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed MASONIC | 35c | 55.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Sinners | 79c | 49.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed MASONIC | 25c | 46.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 303 | 35.6%108 W · 195 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Sinners | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4906…4529backed MASONIC | 40c | 34.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Sinners | 39c | 32.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Sinners | 80c | 27.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 446 | 54.9%245 W · 201 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0b…04acbacked MASONIC | 49c | 24.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Sinners | 66c | 23.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb805…c2c3backed Sinners | 62c | 16.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sinners | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs MASONIC (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsthis page
- Map Handicap: SIN (-1.5) vs MASONIC (+1.5)MASONIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.