Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs KT Rolster Challengers (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e020be5260abb753835b2367908baa6020bb5c27d7e766e34bd385e9c8ed849
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1 Academyof T1 Academy, KT Rolster Challengers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4873…15babacked T1 Academy | 42c | 3,801$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.7 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed KT Rolster Challengers | 57c | 1,689$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.53 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked KT Rolster Challengers | 59c | 1,303$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.81 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed KT Rolster Challengers | 58c | 1,154$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.6 | 294 | 47.6%140 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked KT Rolster Challengers | 59c | 670.51$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.6 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…16abbacked T1 Academy | 41c | 610$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.95 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…2968backed KT Rolster Challengers | 55c | 407.27$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed KT Rolster Challengers | 61c | 285.71$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.28 | 343 | 40.5%139 W · 204 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked KT Rolster Challengers | 59c | 209.15$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.72 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked T1 Academy | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed T1 Academy | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.99 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…d8debacked KT Rolster Challengers | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 60.3%85 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed T1 Academy | 40c | 127.88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.73 | 356 | 39.3%140 W · 216 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed T1 Academy | 41c | 98.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked T1 Academy | 38c | 72.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef0…88abbacked T1 Academy | 41c | 70.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked T1 Academy | 43c | 50.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked T1 Academy | 40c | 44.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed T1 Academy | 38c | 43.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked T1 Academy | 38c | 39.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 117 | 35%41 W · 76 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed T1 Academy | 71c | 31.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed KT Rolster Challengers | 32c | 31.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 231 | 36.4%84 W · 147 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked KT Rolster Challengers | 32c | 31.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 406 | 37.7%153 W · 253 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked T1 Academy | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed T1 Academy | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed T1 Academy | 49c | 29.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ada…5c6cbacked KT Rolster Challengers | 60c | 28.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 232 | 64.2%149 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…c143backed T1 Academy | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs KT Rolster Challengers (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge GroupT1 Academy won
- LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 WinnerT1 Academy won
- LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 WinnerT1 Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.