Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Marshall Thundering Herd
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e19656fff48233e94e28c58c09bcc63a00548766c919564c3a1b576015a16db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami (OH) RedHawksof Miami (OH) RedHawks, Marshall Thundering Herd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 57c | 3,511$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.23 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 3c | 3,343$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 43c | 2,878$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.24 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 57c | 1,900$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.96 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 40c | 1,833$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.19 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 6c | 1,102$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.87 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 30c | 1,009$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 5c | 979.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 30c | 896.88$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.71 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 8c | 587.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 71c | 342.84$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.01 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 22c | 280$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 43c | 257.31$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.64 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 43c | 233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 43c | 224.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.23 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 79c | 207$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 57c | 175.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.62 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 45c | 156$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.96 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 59c | 149$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 40c | 107.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 34c | 106.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 58c | 103.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 75c | 91.81$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b75…32a9backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 36c | 82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 27c | 79.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 74c | 65.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 43c | 59.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 47c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 73c | 45.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22be…e36ebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 55c | 38.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 39c | 33.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 59c | 27.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x112e…0d1fbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 60c | 23.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 51c | 21.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…e817backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 74c | 14.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Marshall Thundering Herdthis page
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Marshall Thundering Herd: O/U 162.5Over won
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Marshall Thundering Herd: O/U 163.5Over won
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-2.5)Miami (OH) RedHawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.