Premier League · resolved market
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e420174817fd553d1453cb75d1fc6cc3b2c89b8e94a1af8796809515dc76be6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 45c | 8,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 6,663$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,997.16 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 6,219$3,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160.57 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 55c | 4,900$2,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,686.55 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 46c | 3,962$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.22 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 65c | 1,935$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.43 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +10.8wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 54c | 864.81$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 57c | 864$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.77 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 54c | 833.33$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +14.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 70 | 82.9%58 W · 12 L | +14.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 25 | 92%23 W · 2 L | +8.7wins | +0.35per pick | 57cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +43%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 43c | 260.22$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.59 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x040b…f8a0backed Over | 46c | 247.37$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 43c | 175$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.94 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 55c | 160$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Over | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 109.54$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.51 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 40c | 87.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.61 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 55c | 84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 55c | 84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 55c | 84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 55c | 66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 55c | 66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 67c | 64.54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 257 | 50.2%129 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 55c | 64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 55c | 56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 43c | 46.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 118 | 66.1%78 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 55c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 254 | 56.3%143 W · 111 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 260 | 58.5%152 W · 108 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 55c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 63c | 31.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | +47.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 55c | 26.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 315 | 57.8%182 W · 133 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 296 | 57.8%171 W · 125 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5this page
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.