Tennis · resolved market
ITF Taipei: Hikaru Sato vs Priska Madelyn Nugroho
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e6ba272e46727472d0bd5faa3b6f845e1115833b54f01d8b106780d2c757b6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Priska Madelyn Nugrohoof Hikaru Sato, Priska Madelyn Nugroho
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 71c | 3,531$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.07 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Hikaru Sato | 27c | 1,674$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.07 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…9fe1backed Hikaru Sato | 51c | 1,299$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Hikaru Sato | 45c | 599.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 49c | 590$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.9 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Hikaru Sato | 38c | 540$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.95 | 197 | 40.6%80 W · 117 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Hikaru Sato | 33c | 401.82$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.74 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Hikaru Sato | 27c | 378.68$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.28 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Hikaru Sato | 26c | 292.28$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.85 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Hikaru Sato | 32c | 252.5$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hikaru Sato | 19c | 204.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Hikaru Sato | 32c | 202$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Hikaru Sato | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…87f4backed Hikaru Sato | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Hikaru Sato | 22c | 176.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hikaru Sato | 17c | 176.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 71c | 151.36$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.77 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hikaru Sato | 19c | 128.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Hikaru Sato | 15c | 124.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 80c | 95.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Hikaru Sato | 17c | 91.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Hikaru Sato | 12c | 91.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Hikaru Sato | 27c | 82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 50c | 74.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Hikaru Sato | 34c | 68.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Hikaru Sato | 19c | 63.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 67c | 61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed Hikaru Sato | 28c | 50.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 55c | 49.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 335 | 57%191 W · 144 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 77c | 43.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 72c | 24.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…7d2ebacked Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 54c | 20.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.