TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: MIBR.A (-1.5) vs Guara Esports (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MIBR Academyof MIBR Academy, Guara Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,698
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,250

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,698 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2526…218ebacked MIBR Academy66c6,244$4,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,123.074973.5%36 W · 13 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked MIBR Academy63c3,643$2,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.131,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked MIBR Academy59c3,115$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.692456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Guara Esports37c1,996$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.021,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MIBR Academy53c1,902$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.395,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Guara Esports34c1,585$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.277,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Guara Esports34c1,301$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.961,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Guara Esports50c1,120$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56021945.7%100 W · 119 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Guara Esports38c1,010$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.819351.3%99 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Guara Esports39c685.99$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.7789046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Guara Esports39c646.85$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.823952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed MIBR Academy56c615.87$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.862,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26f1…6d2fbacked Guara Esports26c588.91$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.31944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa949…7f5bbacked Guara Esports35c577.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022243.7%97 W · 125 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b0e…952fbacked Guara Esports34c534.99$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Guara Esports43c516.85$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.934140.8%139 W · 202 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Guara Esports42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21032844.8%147 W · 181 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Guara Esports33c450.48$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.4838844.3%172 W · 216 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Guara Esports51c431.1$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.455039.6%218 W · 332 L-20.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Guara Esports41c415.8$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.135839.4%141 W · 217 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Guara Esports34c397.06$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed MIBR Academy52c366.86$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.2877351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Guara Esports54c364.1$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19554543.5%237 W · 308 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Guara Esports31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032443.5%141 W · 183 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Guara Esports34c319$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6645754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3635…381fbacked Guara Esports52c298.11$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.44955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaca…4e2dbacked Guara Esports44c287.16$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.35425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked MIBR Academy66c286.36$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.430450.7%154 W · 150 L-0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24f5…98d2backed Guara Esports21c273.09$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2510844.4%48 W · 60 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Guara Esports34c270.34$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7842255.7%235 W · 187 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd761…56e3backed MIBR Academy61c250.99$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.8924746.2%114 W · 133 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa24a…8382backed Guara Esports32c235$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.214248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Guara Esports34c223.68$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7574653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4238…3734backed Guara Esports34c205.88$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7013445.5%61 W · 73 L+10.4wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf868…3b45backed Guara Esports32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6411841.5%49 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed Guara Esports51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019245.8%88 W · 104 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed MIBR Academy49c191.08$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.452,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe544…c7afbacked MIBR Academy64c183.34$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668545.9%39 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Guara Esports44c180$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.251348.3%248 W · 265 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ade…fb15backed Guara Esports32c174.41$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8119748.7%96 W · 101 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15bc…4a7ebacked MIBR Academy65c171.97$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9520147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72e5…6e79backed Guara Esports45c168.05$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Guara Esports33c164.41$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9613751.8%71 W · 66 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Guara Esports34c159$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6121251.9%110 W · 102 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Guara Esports34c159$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4651446.9%241 W · 273 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86ca…bc47backed Guara Esports34c155.88$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536741.8%28 W · 39 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d4a…c078backed MIBR Academy50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6012271.3%87 W · 35 L+18.5wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+26.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x64a3…450abacked MIBR Academy78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2230349.8%151 W · 152 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Guara Esports42c99.17$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6527549.5%136 W · 139 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Guara Esports37c94.59$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3530939.2%121 W · 188 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Guara Esports37c94.59$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3530638.9%119 W · 187 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x010a…7084backed Guara Esports34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3ee…663bbacked Guara Esports30c86.8$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0415044.7%67 W · 83 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Guara Esports35c86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3427156.8%154 W · 117 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ad…a700backed Guara Esports38c82.64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.117152.1%37 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked Guara Esports44c81.82$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610146.5%47 W · 54 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed MIBR Academy57c79.13$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.354746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked Guara Esports21c69.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.612343.9%54 W · 69 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Guara Esports42c69.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0239245.9%180 W · 212 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked MIBR Academy59c66$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0631845.3%144 W · 174 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa781…8745backed Guara Esports41c66$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.064831.3%15 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f20…934fbacked MIBR Academy58c59.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9932463%204 W · 120 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed MIBR Academy49c57.02$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.151,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Guara Esports34c51.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4841853.6%224 W · 194 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed Guara Esports44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2215349.7%76 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ce6…904cbacked MIBR Academy76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed Guara Esports42c46.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5924840.7%101 W · 147 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked MIBR Academy78c36.02$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0267547.3%319 W · 356 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Guara Esports31c35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8525747.5%122 W · 135 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf85…71e4backed Guara Esports44c30.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.41450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed MIBR Academy57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1316050%80 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee16…16a2backed Guara Esports43c29.07$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.529752.2%155 W · 142 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Guara Esports41c26.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1136856.8%209 W · 159 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked MIBR Academy71c26.54$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.611,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed MIBR Academy69c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7477146%355 W · 416 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed MIBR Academy59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.323354.5%127 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed MIBR Academy50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021052.4%110 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde0…20bfbacked MIBR Academy70c17.12$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.098158%47 W · 34 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.