CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Guara Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9f9e89efd8ea62451766d455f1ab0d3991d37f062e949101ae0fa185790f293
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBR Academyof MIBR Academy, Guara Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MIBR Academy | 70c | 3,586$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.27 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Guara Esports | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Guara Esports | 30c | 942.99$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.9 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked MIBR Academy | 74c | 768.73$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.48 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…fa14backed Guara Esports | 30c | 645.77$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Guara Esports | 26c | 498.64$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.37 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Guara Esports | 30c | 395.14$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.77 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Guara Esports | 28c | 320$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Guara Esports | 31c | 263.96$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.83 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Guara Esports | 31c | 218.06$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Guara Esports | 26c | 212.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.26 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Guara Esports | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e3…85f0backed Guara Esports | 29c | 170.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Guara Esports | 31c | 162$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MIBR Academy | 69c | 158.52$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Guara Esports | 31c | 134.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Guara Esports | 31c | 128.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked MIBR Academy | 70c | 125.78$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Guara Esports | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MIBR Academy | 78c | 113.68$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82c…4d93backed Guara Esports | 30c | 106.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Guara Esports | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…3833backed Guara Esports | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Guara Esports | 25c | 97.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Guara Esports | 23c | 83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Guara Esports | 25c | 81.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Guara Esports | 26c | 76.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked MIBR Academy | 75c | 75.05$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Guara Esports | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed MIBR Academy | 69c | 62.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Guara Esports | 22c | 49.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked MIBR Academy | 76c | 49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MIBR Academy | 77c | 43.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Guara Esports | 26c | 41.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed MIBR Academy | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Guara Esports | 30c | 39.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95e…102abacked Guara Esports | 30c | 37.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked MIBR Academy | 75c | 34.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed MIBR Academy | 79c | 33.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Guara Esports | 32c | 32.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed MIBR Academy | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked MIBR Academy | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 324 | 63%204 W · 120 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MIBR Academy | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked MIBR Academy | 75c | 13.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Guara Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group StageMIBR Academy won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Guara Esports - Map 2 WinnerMIBR Academy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MIBR.A (-1.5) vs Guara Esports (+1.5)MIBR Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.