CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0e80bd6af694a7834168509003d7fd74c498ef50d4f9c5868d78f970a556715
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Under | 71c | 3,132$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.55 | 1,020 | 52.2%532 W · 488 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 64c | 1,786$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.56 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 64c | 1,229$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.72 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 31c | 1,165$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 36c | 1,158$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.84 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…6d2fbacked Under | 76c | 1,134$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 24c | 984.99$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.03 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 35c | 800.3$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.11 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 64c | 785$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 610 | 55.9%341 W · 269 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Under | 65c | 581.08$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.06 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 36c | 525.19$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.11 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Over | 37c | 472.1$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.08 | 562 | 39.5%222 W · 340 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 66c | 470.43$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.48 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 33c | 455.43$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.32 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 26c | 368$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.24 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd7…f2c8backed Over | 24c | 335.51$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…47edbacked Over | 36c | 321$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.07 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 31c | 298.68$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Over | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Under | 70c | 266.42$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.88 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Over | 34c | 264.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 31c | 251$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.81 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Over | 36c | 233$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 34c | 203.05$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.04 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 70c | 191.45$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 27c | 168.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Over | 35c | 137.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Under | 70c | 129.54$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Over | 30c | 116.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Over | 40c | 111.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Over | 26c | 101.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 602 | 32.4%195 W · 407 L | -49.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Under | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 65c | 95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 36c | 89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Over | 36c | 83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Over | 34c | 79.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 408 | 39.2%160 W · 248 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Under | 62c | 75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Over | 29c | 60.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Over | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 35c | 51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…bd5bbacked Over | 21c | 49.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…74e8backed Over | 35c | 47.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 66c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 700 | 60.1%421 W · 279 L | +70.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75eb…ce0bbacked Over | 34c | 44.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Over | 23c | 43.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Under | 49c | 38.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 681 | 47%320 W · 361 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95e…102abacked Over | 36c | 33.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d98…7900backed Over | 40c | 26.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 65c | 20.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group StageMIBR Academy won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Guara Esports - Map 1 WinnerMIBR Academy won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Guara Esports - Map 2 WinnerMIBR Academy won
- Map Handicap: MIBR.A (-1.5) vs Guara Esports (+1.5)MIBR Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.