MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f3d0ea89aedabcd71bca7ad14cbd6a7b9082c445aa1b9df9d0165462c49f871
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Detroit Tigers, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Detroit Tigers | 70c | 10,106$7,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,031.85 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Chicago White Sox | 30c | 7,788$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324.12 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Chicago White Sox | 28c | 4,799$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.41 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Chicago White Sox | 24c | 4,097$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.13 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Chicago White Sox | 24c | 2,748$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.44 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ff…6c51backed Detroit Tigers | 71c | 2,253$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.37 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Detroit Tigers | 69c | 2,247$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.57 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Chicago White Sox | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75e…96ebbacked Chicago White Sox | 33c | 1,495$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Chicago White Sox | 31c | 1,484$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.42 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Chicago White Sox | 30c | 1,195$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.5 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Detroit Tigers | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Chicago White Sox | 31c | 936.82$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.41 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago White Sox | 27c | 743.89$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.22 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Detroit Tigers | 71c | 640.3$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.95 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Chicago White Sox | 31c | 629.48$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.14 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Detroit Tigers | 71c | 330$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…882dbacked Detroit Tigers | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Detroit Tigers | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Detroit Tigers | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Chicago White Sox | 26c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Detroit Tigers | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Detroit Tigers | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab9…3f5fbacked Detroit Tigers | 70c | 121.43$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Detroit Tigers | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Detroit Tigers | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x062e…b18ebacked Detroit Tigers | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Chicago White Sox | 29c | 67.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Detroit Tigers | 70c | 64.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Chicago White Sox | 31c | 62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Chicago White Sox | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Detroit Tigers | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Chicago White Sox | 30c | 49.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Detroit Tigers | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…ae49backed Detroit Tigers | 69c | 42.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Detroit Tigers | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Detroit Tigers | 71c | 30.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Detroit Tigers | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1c…b61bbacked Detroit Tigers | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.