Tennis · resolved market
Midland: Alina Charaeva vs Nao Hibino
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f4cf673100aa67019eb93e91e09ce083c2fa1586b2ec99d3bfb40c9d75fd18e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Charaevaof Charaeva, Hibino
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Charaeva | 56c | 4,284$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.24 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Hibino | 26c | 1,519$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.58 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Charaeva | 49c | 1,280$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.1 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Hibino | 57c | 1,109$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.4 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Hibino | 49c | 998.04$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.04 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Charaeva | 48c | 820$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.18 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Hibino | 53c | 724.45$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.66 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…4587backed Charaeva | 57c | 641.65$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Charaeva | 42c | 638.79$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.58 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hibino | 8c | 636.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Charaeva | 48c | 520$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Hibino | 63c | 422.22$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hibino | 51c | 413$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.14 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Hibino | 49c | 400.19$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.3 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Charaeva | 47c | 358$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.74 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…f11bbacked Hibino | 54c | 356.77$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hibino | 49c | 338.48$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.37 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Charaeva | 63c | 332.1$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.65 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Hibino | 50c | 303.71$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.71 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hibino | 8c | 278.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Charaeva | 52c | 276$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.83 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hibino | 50c | 256.61$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.34 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hibino | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Hibino | 56c | 248.71$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.37 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Charaeva | 49c | 205.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.2 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Charaeva | 50c | 192$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.02 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Hibino | 53c | 191.94$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…d11fbacked Hibino | 50c | 190$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Hibino | 54c | 185.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Hibino | 49c | 179$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.97 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Hibino | 36c | 166.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Charaeva | 51c | 160.18$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.91 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Hibino | 51c | 141.27$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.42 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Hibino | 40c | 111.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Charaeva | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Charaeva | 45c | 100.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 284 | 24.3%69 W · 215 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Charaeva | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d16…2154backed Hibino | 52c | 83.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Hibino | 53c | 80.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Charaeva | 53c | 79.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Hibino | 41c | 73.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Charaeva | 50c | 73.02$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Hibino | 53c | 69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Hibino | 34c | 57.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5344…630ebacked Hibino | 41c | 55.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3365…ce5bbacked Charaeva | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa10c…72e1backed Hibino | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…ce8cbacked Charaeva | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Charaeva | 42c | 44.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Hibino | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Hibino | 49c | 42.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Charaeva | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Hibino | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Hibino | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 263 | 49%129 W · 134 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Charaeva | 44c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f1…19a0backed Charaeva | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 517 | 36.9%191 W · 326 L | -39.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…1390backed Hibino | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78dc…d861backed Charaeva | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.