Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f8658b6ed972712ccfaeb7f1dd952091d8658f66bce78ffe201f3111a47fbb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vanderbilt Commodoresof Vanderbilt Commodores, Mississippi State Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 6c | 3,563$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.03 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 76c | 751$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.22 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 19c | 547.77$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 25c | 381.34$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.34 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 76c | 321$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.04 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 6c | 310.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 25c | 301.1$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 74c | 285.32$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.88 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 25c | 274.32$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 17c | 251.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 26c | 230.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 24c | 222$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 75c | 135$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 24c | 67.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 80c | 66.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 73c | 59.26$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 76c | 59.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 26c | 45.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Mississippi State Bulldogsthis page
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-7.5)Vanderbilt Commodores won
- Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs: O/U 159.5Under won
- Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs: O/U 160.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.