Cricket · resolved market
ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League B: Bahrain vs Uganda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x202c20111817f13a7bff47d4c2c30f05d95a18986b6b6af1ff875efda7f89080
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bahrainof Bahrain, Uganda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x96b9…a560backed Uganda | 67c | 2,767$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.9 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…0265backed Uganda | 11c | 2,267$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.86 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Bahrain | 33c | 1,970$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.68 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Bahrain | 33c | 801.29$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.86 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Bahrain | 21c | 659.6$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.16 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Bahrain | 20c | 525.23$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.72 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11eb…50cbbacked Bahrain | 59c | 450.4$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.21 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bahrain | 31c | 448.71$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.63 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bahrain | 34c | 351.93$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.12 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Bahrain | 51c | 338.01$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.06 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Uganda | 50c | 236.7$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.85 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…5508backed Uganda | 71c | 213.93$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Uganda | 66c | 200.33$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Uganda | 50c | 159.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.13 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Bahrain | 50c | 150.83$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.87 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a4…99d0backed Uganda | 71c | 140.4$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Bahrain | 48c | 124.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Uganda | 80c | 110.45$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5987…e287backed Bahrain | 29c | 103.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c7…b914backed Bahrain | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Uganda | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Uganda | 67c | 92.91$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.59 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06b7…e26bbacked Uganda | 61c | 84.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Bahrain | 18c | 79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.86 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da9…0feabacked Uganda | 65c | 71.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80c6…6660backed Bahrain | 27c | 68.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1e…102cbacked Bahrain | 38c | 65.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Bahrain | 28c | 62.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Bahrain | 27c | 59.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Uganda | 32c | 52.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe387…1eedbacked Uganda | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab6…a485backed Uganda | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Bahrain | 29c | 37.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…723dbacked Bahrain | 73c | 36.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe28…3c60backed Uganda | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d1…5ba7backed Uganda | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Bahrain | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ac…be13backed Uganda | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Uganda | 73c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee3e…f651backed Bahrain | 56c | 20.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…5388backed Bahrain | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.