CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Finishers vs Mindfreak (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #6 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2032d707f1b59e2b3f97496ac069a9085cab8ada107217827795d10a54b97cdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mindfreakof Finishers, Mindfreak
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb209…b744backed Finishers | 2c | 33,325$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.93 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Finishers | 1c | 8,956$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.02 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Finishers | 15c | 2,123$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.86 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Finishers | 8c | 1,632$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.6 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Finishers | 1c | 1,100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 163 | 11.7%19 W · 144 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Finishers | 6c | 1,055$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Finishers | 18c | 1,040$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.54 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…42dcbacked Finishers | 6c | 1,036$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Finishers | 11c | 903.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Finishers | 9c | 893.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Mindfreak | 79c | 873.98$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.84 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed Finishers | 21c | 833.33$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 470 | 54%254 W · 216 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed Finishers | 4c | 780.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Finishers | 1c | 730$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef0…88abbacked Finishers | 4c | 703.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Finishers | 23c | 434$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Mindfreak | 41c | 325.53$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.11 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Finishers | 21c | 310.62$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.01 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked Finishers | 47c | 285.16$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…7537backed Finishers | 13c | 273.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked Mindfreak | 56c | 270$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.75 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Finishers | 9c | 253.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac33…fda0backed Mindfreak | 63c | 156.4$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed Finishers | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Finishers | 10c | 141.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Mindfreak | 70c | 114.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4a…c078backed Mindfreak | 62c | 111.76$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xef30…e949backed Mindfreak | 56c | 107$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Finishers | 20c | 106.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Mindfreak | 17c | 101$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.76 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Finishers | 14c | 76.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Mindfreak | 67c | 75.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Finishers | 42c | 67.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Mindfreak | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mindfreak | 75c | 57.77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Finishers | 29c | 56.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed Mindfreak | 76c | 55.06$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 523 | 69.4%363 W · 160 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Finishers | 41c | 50.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Mindfreak | 57c | 48.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d4…e361backed Mindfreak | 63c | 46.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +56%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…4322backed Finishers | 34c | 46.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Finishers | 29c | 39.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Mindfreak | 61c | 33.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95e…102abacked Mindfreak | 61c | 28.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Mindfreak | 71c | 28.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6083…aa55backed Mindfreak | 73c | 27.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9dedbacked Mindfreak | 79c | 25.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde47…cb61backed Mindfreak | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 72cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…3342backed Mindfreak | 67c | 19.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe488…89cebacked Mindfreak | 75c | 19.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Finishers vs Mindfreak (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #6 Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: Finishers vs Mindfreak - Map 1 WinnerMindfreak won
- Counter-Strike: Finishers vs Mindfreak - Map 2 WinnerFinishers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.