Tennis · resolved market
ITF Irvine: Karl Kazuma Lee vs Rudy Quan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2052fec9723e30e8acfe8527a3c0a3b1ca862103e3d72e91cbcc658528026a6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rudy Quanof Karl Kazuma Lee, Rudy Quan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc92…649dbacked Karl Kazuma Lee | 42c | 2,670$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.38 | 91 | 18.7%17 W · 74 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…9b39backed Karl Kazuma Lee | 56c | 2,311$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e1dfbacked Karl Kazuma Lee | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Rudy Quan | 62c | 2,059$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.7 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Rudy Quan | 49c | 2,002$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.9 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Karl Kazuma Lee | 39c | 1,784$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.35 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Rudy Quan | 57c | 1,742$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.96 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Rudy Quan | 58c | 1,712$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.62 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Rudy Quan | 51c | 1,352$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.89 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Rudy Quan | 60c | 1,312$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.58 | 226 | 51.8%117 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Karl Kazuma Lee | 40c | 1,250$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.88 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Karl Kazuma Lee | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Rudy Quan | 63c | 1,014$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.02 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Karl Kazuma Lee | 26c | 863.34$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.9 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1ab1backed Rudy Quan | 59c | 821.64$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.64 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Rudy Quan | 55c | 629.99$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.26 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Karl Kazuma Lee | 39c | 599.97$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.25 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Rudy Quan | 51c | 588.13$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.64 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Rudy Quan | 49c | 579.73$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.05 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Rudy Quan | 59c | 545.22$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.54 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rudy Quan | 65c | 407.83$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.11 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Rudy Quan | 62c | 356.14$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.41 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Rudy Quan | 63c | 321.72$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.98 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Karl Kazuma Lee | 35c | 274.51$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Rudy Quan | 62c | 270.64$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.17 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Rudy Quan | 60c | 246$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Karl Kazuma Lee | 38c | 236$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.62 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Karl Kazuma Lee | 37c | 222.07$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.19 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d6…9357backed Rudy Quan | 68c | 218.42$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.29 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Karl Kazuma Lee | 55c | 211.04$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.53 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…eaa8backed Karl Kazuma Lee | 37c | 207.24$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Karl Kazuma Lee | 42c | 200.3$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.62 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Rudy Quan | 68c | 188.34$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Karl Kazuma Lee | 47c | 179.95$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.82 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…2d37backed Karl Kazuma Lee | 37c | 110.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Karl Kazuma Lee | 47c | 109.57$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Rudy Quan | 11c | 109.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.51 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Rudy Quan | 30c | 107$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.46 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Karl Kazuma Lee | 55c | 86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92db…68d2backed Karl Kazuma Lee | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Rudy Quan | 60c | 80.16$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Rudy Quan | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e8…9826backed Rudy Quan | 25c | 78.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Rudy Quan | 42c | 67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Karl Kazuma Lee | 39c | 65.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Karl Kazuma Lee | 55c | 64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Rudy Quan | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d70…ae13backed Rudy Quan | 59c | 59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5edb…00a9backed Karl Kazuma Lee | 52c | 56.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Karl Kazuma Lee | 36c | 49.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Karl Kazuma Lee | 41c | 48.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…8745backed Rudy Quan | 42c | 48.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Karl Kazuma Lee | 38c | 47.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed Karl Kazuma Lee | 45c | 40.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 124 | 62.1%77 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Karl Kazuma Lee | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Karl Kazuma Lee | 48c | 35.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Karl Kazuma Lee | 55c | 34.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Karl Kazuma Lee | 58c | 34.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Rudy Quan | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Rudy Quan | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked Karl Kazuma Lee | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e5…02a5backed Karl Kazuma Lee | 56c | 24.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d5…e65abacked Karl Kazuma Lee | 60c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e95…b303backed Rudy Quan | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Karl Kazuma Lee | 65c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Rudy Quan | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 812 | 56.2%456 W · 356 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.