CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20de77b2d56d3f5369341a8a904b3a60e36895edd338e62546066644fd389c42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof ex-RUSTEC, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 56c | 4,000$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.98 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 2,294$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.69 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Rune Eaters | 55c | 1,428$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.5 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ex-RUSTEC | 53c | 1,256$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.28 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Rune Eaters | 44c | 1,045$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.5 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Rune Eaters | 69c | 1,000$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.17 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ex-RUSTEC | 53c | 1,000$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.5 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked ex-RUSTEC | 54c | 999.99$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.47 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ex-RUSTEC | 35c | 852.52$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.93 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rune Eaters | 78c | 831.15$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.85 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rune Eaters | 44c | 623.74$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.21 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed ex-RUSTEC | 20c | 344.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rune Eaters | 65c | 288.98$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Rune Eaters | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.66 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Rune Eaters | 43c | 203.63$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.07 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rune Eaters | 43c | 197.28$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.57 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed ex-RUSTEC | 55c | 143.8$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.92 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ex-RUSTEC | 22c | 131$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked ex-RUSTEC | 8c | 128.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Rune Eaters | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Rune Eaters | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…db66backed Rune Eaters | 45c | 91.11$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Rune Eaters | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 19c | 81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ex-RUSTEC | 21c | 81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Rune Eaters | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Rune Eaters | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked ex-RUSTEC | 48c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 63.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Rune Eaters | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Rune Eaters | 44c | 53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked ex-RUSTEC | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed Rune Eaters | 44c | 28.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Rune Eaters | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…d538backed ex-RUSTEC | 61c | 17.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Rune Eaters | 73c | 17.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stageex-RUSTEC won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winnerex-RUSTEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.