TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ex-RUSTECof ex-RUSTEC, Rune Eaters
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,835
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,040

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,835 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed ex-RUSTEC59c5,879$3,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,382.911,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Rune Eaters46c2,496$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.942,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed ex-RUSTEC48c1,415$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.31,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Rune Eaters46c1,290$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Rune Eaters43c992.8$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.632,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked ex-RUSTEC50c916.4$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.862,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Rune Eaters51c849.5$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.5836649.5%181 W · 185 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked ex-RUSTEC56c763$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.823,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed ex-RUSTEC61c692.34$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.171,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked ex-RUSTEC48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3121,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Rune Eaters44c416.01$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.774,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Rune Eaters35c260.49$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9058745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Rune Eaters52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.282,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x499f…b72bbacked Rune Eaters50c208.76$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3814544.8%65 W · 80 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Rune Eaters32c181.22$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.223,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed ex-RUSTEC60c146.85$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.942,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e6c…0c16backed ex-RUSTEC70c128.36$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3619035.8%68 W · 122 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Rune Eaters39c119.3$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.444,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Rune Eaters39c109$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5238032.1%122 W · 258 L-18.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed ex-RUSTEC58c104$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.654,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-RUSTEC50c86.23$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.772,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Rune Eaters43c75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.252,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Rune Eaters32c75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7513142.7%56 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked ex-RUSTEC65c75$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.62,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed ex-RUSTEC54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0730939.2%121 W · 188 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Rune Eaters17c64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6b73…02c0backed Rune Eaters47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304072.5%29 W · 11 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Rune Eaters26c61.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1670042.3%296 W · 404 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Rune Eaters22c59$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.15,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked ex-RUSTEC63c57$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.252,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked ex-RUSTEC63c49.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6872353.5%387 W · 336 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-RUSTEC75c48.72$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.185,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed ex-RUSTEC74c43$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.992,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Rune Eaters33c41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.533,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed ex-RUSTEC72c41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4940666.3%269 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Rune Eaters35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.973,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Rune Eaters43c35.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1552645.1%237 W · 289 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked ex-RUSTEC58c31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.021,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9d7…a1ffbacked ex-RUSTEC47c29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4827746.2%128 W · 149 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8037…04fabacked Rune Eaters52c26.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.928048.8%39 W · 41 L-9.2wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-24.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf184…d472backed Rune Eaters47c26.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.413568.6%24 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed ex-RUSTEC63c26.27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.631,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked ex-RUSTEC61c23.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.321,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed Rune Eaters70c16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.224558%142 W · 103 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.