TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Busan: James Kent Trotter vs Adam Walton

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Adam Waltonof James Kent Trotter, Adam Walton
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,050
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,729

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,050 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked James Kent Trotter20c3,659$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.912,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed James Kent Trotter26c2,980$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.8137741.4%156 W · 221 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Adam Walton76c2,536$1,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.0346473.3%340 W · 124 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed James Kent Trotter11c1,987$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.711,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Adam Walton78c1,653$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.3541251%210 W · 202 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed James Kent Trotter18c1,588$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.2968026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Adam Walton79c1,324$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.984,46667.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L+299.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed James Kent Trotter24c1,130$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.791,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked James Kent Trotter27c1,081$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.557,74550.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L+93.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Adam Walton76c960.77$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.8992352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed Adam Walton77c936.93$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.4914250.7%72 W · 70 L-14.6wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-21%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed James Kent Trotter22c788.94$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.085,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea87…1ad7backed Adam Walton69c742.98$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.3227040%108 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed James Kent Trotter23c673.78$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.41,41855%780 W · 638 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Adam Walton79c500$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10741060.5%248 W · 162 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed James Kent Trotter28c494.04$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.14,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72f8…cf5dbacked James Kent Trotter11c492.06$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.134124.4%10 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed James Kent Trotter27c400$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.239,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked James Kent Trotter18c318.29$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.293,86234.9%1,348 W · 2,514 L+92.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked James Kent Trotter20c300.85$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8711,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65cf…5cdebacked James Kent Trotter24c269.67$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3222646%104 W · 122 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked James Kent Trotter20c262.92$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.646,59650.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L+259.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x224e…f7ddbacked Adam Walton74c262.66$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.828951.7%46 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fad…a796backed James Kent Trotter11c262.21$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.846050%30 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Adam Walton75c260.2$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.221,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked James Kent Trotter27c232.51$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.452,39950.6%1,215 W · 1,184 L+76.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Adam Walton75c223.19$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0750644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Adam Walton75c222.64$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1484468.5%578 W · 266 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed James Kent Trotter23c213.59$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.666,74048.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L+58.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked James Kent Trotter9c211.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.81,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked James Kent Trotter26c197.16$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6848650.6%246 W · 240 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed James Kent Trotter22c179.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.686635.5%307 W · 559 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed James Kent Trotter14c178.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8385624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Adam Walton77c171.21$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6940548.1%195 W · 210 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca4…1785backed Adam Walton69c170.7$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.925068%34 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked James Kent Trotter22c164.12$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.111,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe564…4bcdbacked James Kent Trotter29c162.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8814333.6%48 W · 95 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed James Kent Trotter15c126.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.981,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked James Kent Trotter31c122.22$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.286,41154.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L+283.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Adam Walton76c121.9$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2611959.7%71 W · 48 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6495…c3f7backed Adam Walton78c119.74$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.343076.7%23 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x96bc…d2b5backed Adam Walton78c118.25$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0241668%283 W · 133 L+23.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked James Kent Trotter15c112.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3528247.9%135 W · 147 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked James Kent Trotter26c110.26$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6748552.4%254 W · 231 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed James Kent Trotter26c109.06$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.876,68536.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L-96.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Adam Walton73c107.85$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1224463.5%155 W · 89 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ac6…e020backed Adam Walton79c103.84$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8634761.1%212 W · 135 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Adam Walton78c98.5$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.529257.6%53 W · 39 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed James Kent Trotter28c97.18$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9331366.8%209 W · 104 L+27.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f6e…326cbacked James Kent Trotter15c94.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.243426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Adam Walton78c94.88$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.871,92055.4%1,064 W · 856 L-44.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked James Kent Trotter11c94.66$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.411028.8%9 W · 93 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed James Kent Trotter22c90.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.927541.3%31 W · 44 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4acd…66d4backed James Kent Trotter31c90.45$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.045655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked James Kent Trotter21c90$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.645051.8%233 W · 217 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46ea…d849backed Adam Walton78c88.56$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4816370.6%115 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f98…ec35backed James Kent Trotter26c88.17$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9814533.1%48 W · 97 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed James Kent Trotter25c86.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.553,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed James Kent Trotter22c86.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.958,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked Adam Walton71c84.98$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5419653.1%104 W · 92 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed James Kent Trotter33c82.52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.891,14147.2%539 W · 602 L+65.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe658…2c42backed James Kent Trotter22c80$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.639842.2%168 W · 230 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb883…3994backed James Kent Trotter31c68.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2321549.8%107 W · 108 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6031…de1ebacked James Kent Trotter24c68.24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0411258.9%66 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed James Kent Trotter21c66.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8739534.4%136 W · 259 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ed…72efbacked Adam Walton67c64.61$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3238754.3%210 W · 177 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf2f…1b25backed James Kent Trotter21c56.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.212763%17 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked James Kent Trotter27c56.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0556817.4%99 W · 469 L-74.2wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc04c…cebfbacked Adam Walton77c55.5$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7666778.6%524 W · 143 L+48.1wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+10.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Adam Walton76c55$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.191880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Adam Walton78c54.37$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.961,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed James Kent Trotter21c51.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.91,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa79d…ee14backed Adam Walton78c50.29$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.255552.7%29 W · 26 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed James Kent Trotter21c49.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Adam Walton77c48.63$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9574346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Adam Walton77c47$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8195455.5%529 W · 425 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed James Kent Trotter22c45.23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.111,96546.4%911 W · 1,054 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c1c…b4f1backed Adam Walton78c37.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3518166.9%121 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Adam Walton78c37.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3588560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d3…aafbbacked Adam Walton77c37.83$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.545549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f79…adddbacked Adam Walton70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7115374.5%114 W · 39 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60a2…7a1fbacked Adam Walton75c33.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3318478.8%145 W · 39 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick75cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…3f92backed Adam Walton80c31.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2522482.6%185 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick80cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Adam Walton76c29.77$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.011,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Adam Walton76c29.77$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0163052.4%330 W · 300 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Adam Walton76c29.77$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0157052.6%300 W · 270 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Adam Walton76c29.77$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0130555.4%169 W · 136 L+0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x659f…04e4backed Adam Walton76c29.77$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0110359.2%61 W · 42 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Adam Walton76c29.77$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0160355.4%334 W · 269 L+19.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Adam Walton76c29.77$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.011,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Adam Walton76c29.77$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0161752.5%324 W · 293 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Adam Walton76c29.77$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0113557.8%78 W · 57 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Adam Walton76c29.77$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0176853%407 W · 361 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Adam Walton76c29.77$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0133557%191 W · 144 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Adam Walton76c29.77$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.011,21252%630 W · 582 L+44.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Adam Walton76c29.77$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0118459.8%110 W · 74 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Adam Walton76c29.77$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0129652.4%155 W · 141 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Adam Walton76c29.75$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713949.6%69 W · 70 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Adam Walton76c28.44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.831,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Adam Walton76c28.44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8319055.3%105 W · 85 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.