Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UC Irvine Anteaters vs. UC Davis Aggies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x213aa69b40052b3e23c972a9370c7854305226b72a5b8df40dd342671fffa7f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UC Davis Aggiesof UC Irvine Anteaters, UC Davis Aggies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UC Davis Aggies | 51c | 2,827$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.1 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a7…5314backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 55c | 1,810$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 36c | 567.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.38 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 54c | 501.86$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.11 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 43c | 279.07$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UC Davis Aggies | 43c | 229.55$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.84 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed UC Davis Aggies | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed UC Davis Aggies | 43c | 198.12$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.93 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 43c | 186$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.68 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 34c | 180$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed UC Davis Aggies | 69c | 173.55$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 41c | 170.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 54c | 117.3$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.68 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UC Davis Aggies | 42c | 91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 63c | 86.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 190 | 57.4%109 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…3365backed UC Davis Aggies | 53c | 83.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 49c | 60.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UC Davis Aggies | 53c | 59.18$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed UC Davis Aggies | 36c | 54.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed UC Davis Aggies | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed UC Davis Aggies | 55c | 47.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed UC Davis Aggies | 51c | 46.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5305…57e8backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…58fcbacked UC Davis Aggies | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UC Davis Aggies | 35c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 59c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 38c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 59c | 23.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 58c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UC Davis Aggies | 64c | 16.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UC Irvine Anteaters vs. UC Davis Aggiesthis page
- Spread: UC Irvine Anteaters (-2.5)UC Davis Aggies won
- Spread: UC Irvine Anteaters (-3.5)UC Davis Aggies won
- UC Irvine Anteaters vs. UC Davis Aggies: O/U 145.5Over won
- UC Irvine Anteaters vs. UC Davis Aggies: O/U 146.5Over won
- UC Irvine Anteaters vs. UC Davis Aggies: O/U 147.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.