Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Pittsburgh Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21a6f34023237d811424141e1c9eae403e10bf47304802ada231732e930c4be2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Panthersof Penn State Nittany Lions, Pittsburgh Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 52c | 4,948$2,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,571.74 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 42c | 2,951$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.35 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 77c | 2,171$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.66 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 49c | 1,490$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.31 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 47c | 1,002$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.76 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 49c | 948.85$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.26 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 783$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.5 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 41c | 689.96$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.57 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 680.66$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.33 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 47c | 425.5$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.61 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 28c | 409.69$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.24 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 9c | 294.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 46c | 263.08$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.06 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 44c | 245.89$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.97 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 49c | 241.66$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.25 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 48c | 239.48$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.9 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 9c | 227.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 200.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.04 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e1…5924backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +101%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 75c | 199.24$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 190 | 57.4%109 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 47c | 139.76$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.76 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 38c | 137.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 24c | 123.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 49c | 119.58$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.28 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…d08abacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 53c | 85.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 49c | 66.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 76c | 57.54$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 30c | 53.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 48.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 51c | 47.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…ca8dbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 43c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…daabbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 44.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 30c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 48c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b9…1cb4backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 48c | 32.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 52c | 31.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c0…a82cbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 52c | 25.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 47c | 24.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 23.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Pittsburgh Panthersthis page
- Spread: Penn State Nittany Lions (-1.5)Pittsburgh Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.