Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification ATP: Lorenzo Giustino vs Grigor Dimitrov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21c5b6f8fd3852b06cd1c1b089bde058cbf582a7c31b612350f6695e183c0595
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grigor Dimitrovof Lorenzo Giustino, Grigor Dimitrov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 11c | 31,260$3,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,438.55 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…878dbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 3c | 18,911$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.72 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a95…3a16backed Lorenzo Giustino | 3c | 16,255$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 69%49 W · 22 L | +9.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…afe7backed Lorenzo Giustino | 3c | 15,693$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Lorenzo Giustino | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,437 | 28.5%409 W · 1,028 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de2…11a9backed Lorenzo Giustino | 11c | 3,636$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…0eacbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Lorenzo Giustino | 3c | 1,900$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 319 | 36.4%116 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 8c | 999.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 492 | 50.6%249 W · 243 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c68…219fbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 3c | 902.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Lorenzo Giustino | 5c | 885.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Lorenzo Giustino | 4c | 593.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 11c | 325.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4c…2200backed Lorenzo Giustino | 8c | 308.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Lorenzo Giustino | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,275 | 42.7%972 W · 1,303 L | +33.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Lorenzo Giustino | 11c | 276.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 1,254 | 52.1%653 W · 601 L | +45.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Lorenzo Giustino | 11c | 275$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 364 | 34.3%125 W · 239 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bd…6dddbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 10c | 264.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…aa65backed Lorenzo Giustino | 11c | 254.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Lorenzo Giustino | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lorenzo Giustino | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Lorenzo Giustino | 10c | 220$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lorenzo Giustino | 10c | 153.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Lorenzo Giustino | 11c | 127.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc6…1cedbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 11c | 124.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Lorenzo Giustino | 11c | 114.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f08…ead2backed Lorenzo Giustino | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Lorenzo Giustino vs Grigor Dimitrovthis page
- Set Handicap: Dimitrov (-1.5) vs Giustino (+1.5)Dimitrov won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.